inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 112 Excitement3.8 [1024] MVPHedo Turkoglu (ORL): +14.5%
Memphis Grizzlies 85 Comeback1.4 [808] LVPPau Gasol (MEM): -8.6%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu0.140,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.180.010.051681%0.172-0.0200%0.00
Maurice Evans0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.100.02-0.02775%0.1300.00250%-0.01
Keyon Dooling0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.080.03-0.01965%0.1100.002100%0.01
Brian Cook0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.02-0.00671%0.1000.002100%0.01
Rashard Lewis0.060,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.07-0.000.011359%0.071-0.011100%0.00
Dwight Howard0.050,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.07-0.000.02770%0.092-0.05967%-0.01
Keith Bogans0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.00-0.00462%0.0300.0000%0.00
Pat Garrity0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
JJ Redick0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.06487%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Augustine0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Adonal Foyle-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.03367%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Carlos Arroyo-0.040,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01530%-0.031-0.0100%0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rudy Gay0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.11-0.01-0.001183%0.163-0.042100%0.01
Darko Milicic0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.01567%0.0400.0020%-0.04
Stromile Swift0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.010.01753%0.0300.0010%-0.02
Mike Conley0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.02-0.01-0.041342%0.011-0.01560%-0.00
Juan Carlos Navarro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.02520%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Hakim Warrick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.000.01333%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Bobby Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.07-0.00-0.0430%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.000.01242%-0.021-0.02862%-0.02
Mike Miller0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.000.02859%0.044-0.091100%0.00
Pau Gasol0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.04-0.021250%0.035-0.111080%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.12.431.516.424.32.725.6128.0
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +41.0%
ORL +2.5%
MEM -15.5%
ORL +20.1%
ORL +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLMEMNBAORLMEMNBA
this game17.617.115.4136.6101.2105.7
season15.114.9109.9103.3
opponent14.915.6109.9104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL18.317.015.220.417.6
MEM19.615.016.717.517.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hedo Turkoglu67670.51-0.010.51-0.262612516.920.6-3.6616.917.7-0.77
Keyon Dooling41420.340.160.18-0.362432118.616.61.9516.118.0-1.90
Maurice Evans52510.300.200.10-0.051215-316.519.5-3.0317.017.3-0.34
Dwight Howard50520.270.230.030.03819-1117.318.1-0.8417.616.21.42
Brian Cook31350.250.25-0.000.02819-1118.317.21.0417.616.70.91
Rashard Lewis58580.240.26-0.01-0.171413117.917.00.9216.618.3-1.76
Adonal Foyle28280.230.27-0.03-0.241611518.017.40.6515.717.8-2.13
Keith Bogans29320.200.30-0.10-0.241512319.616.53.1117.516.90.60
Carlos Arroyo41420.160.34-0.180.07324-2116.618.6-1.9518.016.11.90
Pat Garrity440.000.50-0.50-0.09324-2118.717.61.2020.016.93.05
JJ Redick550.000.50-0.50-0.09324-2118.417.60.8418.417.01.39
James Augustine440.000.50-0.50-0.09324-2118.717.61.2020.016.93.05

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyle Lowry1817-0.11-0.390.28-0.05-2-252316.317.3-1.0420.516.83.68
Bobby Jones1414-0.11-0.390.280.12-8-191115.017.5-2.5118.317.50.82
Juan Carlos Navarro2828-0.14-0.360.210.35-17-10-716.517.4-0.8419.216.82.49
Hakim Warrick2121-0.23-0.270.050.12-12-15316.717.2-0.5118.917.21.74
Stromile Swift3026-0.23-0.270.04-0.02-7-201316.717.3-0.6116.718.0-1.29
Rudy Gay7169-0.30-0.20-0.090.12-14-13-117.117.00.1117.617.6-0.01
Pau Gasol6867-0.30-0.20-0.100.20-17-10-717.017.4-0.3517.418.7-1.29
Darko Milicic3940-0.32-0.18-0.140.06-13-14118.116.21.9317.317.9-0.51
Mike Miller6563-0.37-0.13-0.250.21-20-7-1317.515.61.8917.119.4-2.29
Mike Conley6665-0.39-0.11-0.280.34-25-2-2317.316.31.0416.820.5-3.68


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 102, WAS 920.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0,096.6%
DET 113, NJN 920.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.25,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.9%
DET 106, WAS 930.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.6%