NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	107		Excitement	9.6 [93]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +41.2%
New Orleans Pelicans	103		Comeback	4.7 [305]		LVP	CJ McCollum (POR): -46.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.29	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.35,0.29	0.20	0.13	0.04	33	60%	0.29	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.23	0.11	0.11	-0.00	14	72%	0.33	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.02
Evan Turner	0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.29,0.21,0.21	0.08	0.13	-0.00	10	61%	0.21	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04	-0.06	0.08	-0.02	13	36%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Meyers Leonard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shabazz Napier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.09	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	4	0%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	-0.47	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.33,-0.4,-0.4,-0.47	-0.23	-0.25	-0.01	19	18%	-0.38	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.41	0.41	0.13	0.29	0.01	24	67%	0.49	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.07
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	56%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Cheick Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	56%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Larry Drew II	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ian Clark	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	11	36%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.13	0.00	12	46%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.18	-0.17	-0.03	-0.13	0.01	17	57%	0.04	6	-0.21	3	100%	0.01
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.09	-0.20	-0.02	9	28%	-0.13	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	0.8	25.8	14.7	22.1	2.5	32.4	121.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +5.9%

POR +17.5%

POR +21.6%

NOP -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NOP	NBA	POR	NOP	NBA
this game	14.8	13.3	14.7	105.9	99.0	107.5
season	15.2	13.6		107.8	108.0
opponent	14.6	14.3		107.0	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.1	15.1	14.9	14.1	14.8
NOP	13.7	14.3	13.4	12.1	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Lillard	89	91	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.34	8	-4	12	14.8	15.0	-0.22	13.4	13.0	0.36
Ed Davis	37	38	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.13	9	-5	14	15.2	14.6	0.57	13.2	13.4	-0.21
Pat Connaughton	25	24	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.07	8	-4	12	13.7	15.2	-1.44	13.8	13.2	0.67
Shabazz Napier	37	39	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	-6	16	15.1	14.7	0.40	13.6	13.1	0.52
Zach Collins	27	28	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.03	8	-4	12	15.1	14.7	0.42	13.2	13.3	-0.09
Al-Farouq Aminu	74	76	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.35	-4	8	-12	14.7	15.1	-0.42	13.3	13.2	0.09
CJ McCollum	78	80	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.40	-7	11	-18	15.0	14.1	0.93	13.1	14.0	-0.83
Evan Turner	76	79	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.40	-7	11	-18	14.6	15.5	-0.90	13.2	13.8	-0.64
Meyers Leonard	1	1	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	2	0	7.0	14.9	-7.88	0.0	13.4	-13.45
Jusuf Nurkic	61	64	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.21	-7	11	-18	15.0	14.4	0.62	13.6	12.9	0.68

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emeka Okafor	33	33	0.35	-0.85	1.19	0.02	11	-15	26	13.0	13.5	-0.51	15.7	14.4	1.37
Ian Clark	59	58	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.05	4	-8	12	14.2	12.1	2.09	15.1	14.4	0.75
Larry Drew II	1	1	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-2	0	0.0	13.4	-13.45	7.0	14.9	-7.88
E'Twaun Moore	69	68	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.29	7	-11	18	13.2	13.6	-0.43	14.7	15.0	-0.34
Anthony Davis	82	81	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.40	5	-9	14	13.4	13.2	0.17	14.8	14.9	-0.12
Jrue Holiday	88	85	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.41	5	-9	14	12.9	15.5	-2.58	14.8	14.7	0.14
Nikola Mirotic	43	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	8	-20	13.6	13.1	0.53	14.8	14.8	-0.04
Cheick Diallo	32	31	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.09	-13	9	-22	13.9	13.1	0.81	14.7	14.8	-0.09
Solomon Hill	48	45	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.44	-8	4	-12	12.3	14.2	-1.90	14.7	14.9	-0.16
Darius Miller	65	63	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.34	-17	13	-30	13.8	12.5	1.29	14.4	15.5	-1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.37,0.26,0.35,0.4,0.61,0.36,0.22,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 81, NJN 79	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.66,0.74,0.6,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.47,0.67,0.69,0.55,0.25,0.17,0	92.3%
DAL 103, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.9,0.81,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.27,0	91.9%
TOR 95, MIN 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.76,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.31,0.54,0.33,0.09,0	91.4%