NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	95		Excitement	8.6 [169]		MVP	Rudy Gay (TOR): +28.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	93		Comeback	5.0 [91]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (MIN): -17.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.34,0.28	0.06	0.20	-0.02	23	55%	0.36	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.17	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,-0.04,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.06	0.12	0.01	23	53%	0.26	1	-0.09	1	100%	0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	4	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.04
Terrence Ross	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	5	70%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Quincy Acy	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	3	37%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Landry Fields	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	4	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	4	37%	-0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12	-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	11	50%	0.01	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.05	0.01	10	77%	0.20	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.09
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.11,0.2,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.06	0.02	12	60%	0.15	1	-0.02	16	75%	0.02
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	8	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	57%	0.03	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	6	57%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.08	-0.05	6	57%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	10	46%	-0.07	4	-0.10	8	75%	-0.25

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	25.3	15.5	25.3	2.5	32.0	127.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +37.8%

MIN -0.1%

TOR +22.3%

MIN -13.8%

TOR +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	MIN	NBA	TOR	MIN	NBA
this game	16.5	14.4	15.4	102.2	100.0	104.1
season	16.1	15.6		104.4	101.3
opponent	14.9	15.3		103.4	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.1	17.1	16.5	17.7	16.5
MIN	12.0	16.4	16.2	13.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Landry Fields	34	34	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.47	11	-9	20	17.5	16.0	1.52	15.2	14.0	1.27
Rudy Gay	68	68	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.42	1	1	0	16.7	16.2	0.52	14.5	14.3	0.21
Jonas Valanciunas	60	62	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.43	-1	3	-4	17.5	14.8	2.76	14.3	14.7	-0.47
DeMar DeRozan	70	71	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.45	-4	6	-10	16.7	16.1	0.60	13.7	16.9	-3.19
Sebastian Telfair	29	29	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	-7	16	16.3	16.6	-0.28	15.7	13.9	1.83
Kyle Lowry	64	64	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.43	-7	9	-16	16.6	16.3	0.28	13.9	15.7	-1.83
Terrence Ross	33	31	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	-4	10	15.2	17.3	-2.10	15.5	13.9	1.68
Aaron Gray	33	31	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	-1	4	14.8	17.5	-2.76	14.7	14.3	0.47
Quincy Acy	13	13	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.09	6	-4	10	16.5	16.5	-0.09	18.2	13.8	4.42
Alan Anderson	17	17	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	1	0	16.3	16.6	-0.30	14.8	14.4	0.41
Amir Johnson	44	45	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	0.09	-15	17	-32	16.5	16.6	-0.11	12.9	15.8	-2.90

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Williams	41	41	0.27	-0.77	1.05	-0.05	11	-13	24	13.6	15.1	-1.47	16.6	16.5	0.04
Luke Ridnour	45	44	0.24	-0.74	0.98	-0.03	9	-11	20	14.6	14.2	0.37	17.1	16.1	1.01
Greg Stiemsma	12	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-1	0	17.0	14.0	2.95	17.8	16.3	1.49
Alexey Shved	14	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.07	-4	2	-6	17.1	14.0	3.11	16.1	16.6	-0.46
Jose Juan Barea	27	27	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	5	-12	15.9	13.8	2.06	16.1	16.7	-0.60
Ricky Rubio	73	72	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.44	5	-7	12	13.8	16.8	-3.08	16.6	16.4	0.14
Andrei Kirilenko	68	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.46	2	-4	6	14.0	15.7	-1.71	16.7	16.2	0.50
Nikola Pekovic	81	81	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.46	-1	-1	0	14.0	17.0	-2.95	16.3	17.8	-1.49
Chase Budinger	52	53	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.44	-11	9	-20	14.3	14.6	-0.23	16.2	17.0	-0.77
Dante Cunningham	52	52	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.39	-13	11	-24	15.1	13.6	1.47	16.5	16.6	-0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.76,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.31,0.54,0.33,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 107, NOP 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.37,0.26,0.35,0.4,0.61,0.36,0.22,0.15,0	91.4%
SAC 96, TOR 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.66,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.47,0.53,0.41,0.54,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.23,0.04,0	91.4%
DAL 111, PHX 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.69,0.57,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.57,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.39,0.19,0.45,0.57,0.16,0	91.3%