NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	81		Excitement	8.3 [180]		MVP	Earl Boykins (WAS): +18.1%
New Jersey Nets	79		Comeback	3.5 [436]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): -38.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Boykins	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.18	-0.02	0.20	0.00	13	54%	0.33	3	-0.15	2	50%	-0.02
Andray Blatche	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.00	7	70%	0.17	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Caron Butler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.06	-0.01	9	40%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.05
Nick Young	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	9	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	4	73%	0.04	4	-0.09	3	67%	-0.03
Fabricio Oberto	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	7	43%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	9	39%	0.04	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.24,-0.32,-0.38,-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.01	13	32%	-0.23	3	-0.15	2	100%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	-0.01	0.04	12	70%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	75%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	47%	0.02	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.08,-0.19,-0.19,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	14	47%	0.14	4	-0.17	8	62%	-0.08
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	9	41%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.07
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.07	0.02	6	58%	-0.01	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.31	-0.31	-0.11	-0.20	-0.00	8	35%	-0.18	4	-0.13	7	86%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	30.2	15.7	28.4	2.5	35.4	136.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +22.4%

WAS +3.7%

WAS +24.1%

WAS +0.6%

NJN -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NJN	NBA	WAS	NJN	NBA
this game	16.7	16.8	15.3	94.2	91.9	106.0
season	15.7	15.9		102.6	98.7
opponent	15.0	15.3		108.3	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.0	18.5	15.6	17.1	16.7
NJN	15.3	17.5	15.7	18.9	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Boykins	55	55	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.36	17	-15	32	16.3	17.5	-1.24	17.3	15.8	1.50
Mike Miller	69	68	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.47	-1	3	-4	17.5	13.5	4.05	17.1	15.4	1.74
Caron Butler	57	58	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.55	-7	9	-16	16.1	17.9	-1.83	15.9	18.6	-2.67
Brendan Haywood	51	51	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.48	-5	7	-12	16.8	16.7	0.11	16.3	17.5	-1.26
Andray Blatche	43	43	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.05	13	-11	24	16.1	17.3	-1.26	17.3	16.2	1.07
Nick Young	26	26	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.01	7	-5	12	16.8	16.7	0.12	19.2	15.7	3.53
Antawn Jamison	45	45	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.50	-11	13	-24	16.9	16.5	0.35	15.9	17.7	-1.80
Fabricio Oberto	33	33	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.06	7	-5	12	17.2	16.4	0.85	18.0	16.0	2.05
DeShawn Stevenson	16	16	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	-2	6	16.7	16.7	0.04	14.6	17.3	-2.63
Randy Foye	35	35	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	0.00	-14	16	-30	16.8	16.7	0.09	15.8	17.4	-1.63

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yi Jianlian	54	53	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.02	5	-7	12	16.4	17.5	-1.12	15.8	18.2	-2.42
Chris Douglas-Roberts	52	52	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.42	15	-17	32	16.5	17.2	-0.68	17.3	15.8	1.58
Keyon Dooling	64	64	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.32	5	-7	12	16.8	16.7	0.05	17.0	15.8	1.27
Courtney Lee	69	68	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.43	6	-8	14	16.3	18.8	-2.49	16.8	16.3	0.56
Chris Quinn	22	22	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	5	-12	16.7	16.8	-0.05	15.8	17.0	-1.27
Terrence Williams	28	29	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.01	-11	9	-20	16.8	16.8	0.03	15.4	17.4	-1.92
Jarvis Hayes	23	23	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.05	-14	12	-26	18.8	16.0	2.81	16.6	16.8	-0.21
Brook Lopez	72	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.40	-3	1	-4	17.2	14.4	2.79	17.4	13.6	3.78
Kris Humphries	46	48	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.48	-6	4	-10	16.5	17.0	-0.48	16.8	16.7	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.66,0.74,0.6,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.47,0.67,0.69,0.55,0.25,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 107, NOP 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.37,0.26,0.35,0.4,0.61,0.36,0.22,0.15,0	92.3%
ORL 97, MIL 90	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.52,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.53,0.63,0.22,0.04,0	92.0%
HOU 94, MIN 89	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.73,0.62,0.54,0.22,0.04,0	91.5%