inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 135 Excitement2.1 [1284] MVPNikola Jokic (DEN): +11.9%
Chicago Bulls 102 Comeback1.1 [1247] LVPJustin Holiday (CHI): -6.7%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Jokic0.120,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.190.000.071191%0.131-0.011100%0.00
Will Barton0.090,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.130.000.04989%0.091-0.0000%0.00
Paul Millsap0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.160.000.09992%0.103-0.04683%0.01
Devin Harris0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.070.000.01882%0.083-0.021100%0.00
Wilson Chandler0.030,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.130.000.11995%0.073-0.052100%0.01
Richard Jefferson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malik Beasley0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01350%0.0010.0000%0.00
Darrell Arthur0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mason Plumlee-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02280%-0.0010.0010%-0.00
Torrey Craig-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00650%-0.0110.00250%-0.01
Trey Lyles-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.030.000.041050%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jamal Murray-0.010,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.000.000.011452%0.013-0.023100%0.00

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bobby Portis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.00-0.001158%0.062-0.024100%0.01
Paul Zipser0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.050.00-0.07933%0.0110.0100%0.00
Cristiano Felicio0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.080.000.07980%0.022-0.012100%0.00
Cameron Payne0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.050.000.04779%0.032-0.0200%0.00
Jerian Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.00756%0.012-0.014100%-0.00
David Nwaba0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.000.021146%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Antonio Blakeney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.00-0.04933%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
Noah Vonleh0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.110.000.15887%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Denzel Valentine0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.021336%-0.052-0.0120%-0.01
Justin Holiday0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.000.00530%-0.032-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.21.830.215.322.52.322.6117.9
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +37.9%
DEN +7.0%
DEN +4.6%
CHI -1.3%
DEN +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENCHINBADENCHINBA
this game16.112.914.7136.4102.0107.5
season14.714.2111.2103.2
opponent15.014.7110.2109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.613.417.618.016.1
CHI13.212.814.511.312.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Devin Harris49510.360.140.22-0.402671916.515.60.9112.513.4-0.94
Wilson Chandler60620.340.160.18-0.7537-44115.017.7-2.7113.811.52.32
Paul Millsap56560.340.160.17-0.6634-13515.017.4-2.3813.711.81.91
Mason Plumlee41420.330.170.16-0.3222111115.516.4-0.9212.113.5-1.40
Will Barton55560.320.180.14-0.532942514.817.6-2.7713.711.91.87
Jamal Murray60600.320.180.14-0.442671916.315.70.5913.212.40.85
Nikola Jokic49500.250.250.00-0.281815316.215.90.2213.112.70.34
Torrey Craig39380.160.34-0.180.28-437-4117.715.02.7111.513.8-2.32
Trey Lyles38380.080.42-0.330.23-538-4317.315.32.0512.513.1-0.62
Malik Beasley25240.000.50-0.500.29-1043-5318.015.42.5511.313.4-2.13
Richard Jefferson990.000.50-0.500.15-538-4314.216.2-2.0112.413.0-0.51
Darrell Arthur14140.000.50-0.500.09-336-3917.915.72.1912.413.0-0.56

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antonio Blakeney4748-0.20-0.300.09-0.09-4-292512.113.7-1.6016.815.31.48
Paul Zipser3939-0.22-0.280.060.16-13-20713.612.51.1114.617.0-2.45
Noah Vonleh4848-0.22-0.280.06-0.07-5-282312.113.7-1.5516.815.31.48
David Nwaba5252-0.22-0.280.050.13-12-21912.213.6-1.4217.015.01.92
Cameron Payne4746-0.24-0.260.020.23-16-17114.111.82.3016.415.70.68
Jerian Grant5353-0.26-0.24-0.020.24-17-16-111.814.1-2.3015.716.4-0.68
Bobby Portis5352-0.27-0.23-0.030.47-25-8-1712.613.3-0.6917.414.62.85
Denzel Valentine5150-0.28-0.22-0.060.48-26-7-1913.712.11.5815.716.4-0.79
Cristiano Felicio6059-0.29-0.21-0.090.38-23-10-1313.412.21.2315.217.3-2.05
Justin Holiday5048-0.30-0.20-0.090.41-24-9-1513.612.21.4214.717.3-2.61


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 121, BOS 980.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.7%
UTA 106, DEN 820.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.5%
ORL 115, CHI 680.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.2,0.24,0.15,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.5%