NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	94		Excitement	6.9 [476]		MVP	Dillon Brooks (MEM): +13.6%
Memphis Grizzlies	101		Comeback	1.1 [453]		LVP	Will Barton (DEN): -26.9%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Torrey Craig	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.08	0.00	7	64%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.00	6	62%	0.12	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Wilson Chandler	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.05	0.02	7	71%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	10	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.06	-0.02	9	43%	0.07	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.03
Mason Plumlee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Murray	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.13	-0.07	-0.10	-0.04	18	39%	0.03	2	-0.15	5	100%	0.03
Nikola Jokic	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.02	-0.19	0.04	15	45%	-0.17	1	-0.07	8	75%	0.00
Will Barton	-0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.27	-0.15	-0.11	0.01	12	31%	-0.14	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.01	-0.01	17	63%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Wayne Selden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.00	0.01	7	114%	0.17	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Deyonta Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.00	3	75%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.07	0.08	-0.05	19	43%	0.10	3	-0.03	8	75%	0.03
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.03	-0.03	11	29%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Briante Weber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jarell Martin	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	15	41%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	1.5	26.6	15.5	29.8	2.0	31.4	134.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +16.9%

MEM +13.3%

MEM +5.1%

MEM +18.5%

DEN -3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	MEM	NBA	DEN	MEM	NBA
this game	15.2	16.1	14.7	103.3	108.6	107.5
season	14.7	15.4		111.2	103.4
opponent	14.6	14.7		109.8	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	17.2	13.6	16.7	13.3	15.2
MEM	14.9	15.2	14.6	20.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Torrey Craig	33	34	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-10	13	14.1	15.8	-1.72	15.8	16.3	-0.54
Devin Harris	52	53	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.15	8	-15	23	13.8	17.0	-3.17	15.5	16.8	-1.30
Mason Plumlee	23	25	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.11	-1	-6	5	13.6	15.7	-2.17	13.9	16.9	-2.99
Trey Lyles	40	41	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-9	11	14.3	15.9	-1.54	15.1	16.9	-1.81
Nikola Jokic	66	65	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	-6	5	15.7	13.9	1.75	17.1	13.7	3.37
Will Barton	62	63	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.11	-14	7	-21	15.8	13.9	1.84	16.7	14.8	1.93
Paul Millsap	53	55	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.19	-12	5	-17	15.9	14.1	1.81	16.7	15.3	1.34
Jamal Murray	68	70	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.34	-8	1	-9	15.7	13.7	2.00	16.0	16.5	-0.55
Wilson Chandler	58	59	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.25	-12	5	-17	15.8	14.1	1.72	16.3	15.8	0.54

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	65	65	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.27	10	-3	13	16.5	15.3	1.18	15.9	13.5	2.42
Jarell Martin	66	66	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.23	10	-3	13	16.0	16.3	-0.27	15.9	13.4	2.46
Dillon Brooks	74	72	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.30	7	0	7	17.4	10.9	6.55	15.0	15.9	-0.96
JaMychal Green	56	57	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.21	9	-2	11	17.7	13.7	3.99	15.3	15.0	0.25
Tyreke Evans	76	74	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.23	7	0	7	15.3	19.8	-4.48	15.1	15.4	-0.20
Wayne Selden	44	41	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	3	1	14.3	17.7	-3.35	15.7	14.8	0.86
Mario Chalmers	14	14	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	11	-15	16.4	16.1	0.38	13.3	15.5	-2.25
Deyonta Davis	28	26	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	10	-13	15.3	16.5	-1.18	13.5	15.9	-2.42
Briante Weber	42	40	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	12	-17	15.0	17.0	-2.06	14.5	15.7	-1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.8,0.88,0.83,0.89,0.81,0.84,0.63,0.65,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.74,0.66,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.76,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 106, GSW 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.68,0.67,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.2%
WAS 89, NJN 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.79,0.68,0.92,1	91.7%
HOU 93, BOS 97	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.58,0.42,0.41,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.92,1	91.5%