NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	93		Excitement	6.5 [469]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (BOS): +36.4%
Boston Celtics	97		Comeback	1.8 [847]		LVP	Yao Ming (HOU): -19.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bonzi Wells	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.10	0.03	14	62%	0.19	0	0.00	12	75%	0.04
Rafer Alston	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	0.00	16	55%	0.14	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	4	58%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	7	43%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	-0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.09	-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	11	45%	0.02	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.09	-0.10	0.01	20	41%	-0.08	4	-0.12	6	83%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.26,0.32,0.36	0.36	0.17	0.20	0.00	15	72%	0.38	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.04
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	5	77%	0.13	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.03	-0.02	4	50%	0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	11	54%	0.06	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.07	0.01	12	63%	0.06	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.03
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	15	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	5	8%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	26.6	15.6	27.3	2.5	36.5	133.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +56.0%

HOU -21.1%

BOS +8.7%

BOS +5.7%

BOS +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	BOS	NBA	HOU	BOS	NBA
this game	15.9	16.3	15.4	104.5	107.8	105.7
season	16.2	15.6		104.6	108.0
opponent	15.9	15.2		98.3	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	20.3	16.2	12.8	15.0	15.9
BOS	14.0	17.3	14.9	19.3	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Brooks	20	20	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.12	1	-5	6	17.0	15.6	1.50	15.3	16.6	-1.21
Mike James	15	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-5	6	16.9	15.7	1.26	17.3	16.1	1.17
Luis Scola	41	42	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-2	0	17.2	14.8	2.42	15.5	17.0	-1.48
Charles Hayes	29	30	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-2	0	15.5	16.1	-0.55	13.9	17.5	-3.63
Bonzi Wells	52	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.43	4	-8	12	15.4	16.5	-1.12	18.2	13.7	4.46
Rafer Alston	80	81	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.32	-3	-1	-2	15.9	15.6	0.37	16.5	14.1	2.42
Shane Battier	69	70	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.27	-8	4	-12	15.4	17.6	-2.21	15.8	17.8	-2.01
Yao Ming	77	77	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.54	-2	-2	0	16.0	15.3	0.64	16.6	14.4	2.23
Luther Head	62	63	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.46	-9	5	-14	15.4	17.1	-1.76	16.3	16.3	-0.06

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	75	72	0.99	-0.49	1.47	0.34	22	-18	40	15.8	18.7	-2.93	16.9	11.5	5.39
Rajon Rondo	63	62	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.43	9	-5	14	15.7	17.7	-1.97	16.5	14.6	1.86
Kevin Garnett	67	64	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.42	9	-5	14	15.7	17.9	-2.18	16.6	14.1	2.46
Ray Allen	81	80	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	1	2	16.4	15.3	1.06	16.0	15.1	0.86
James Posey	42	42	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.43	-3	7	-10	18.7	14.1	4.59	14.7	17.0	-2.27
Scot Pollard	26	26	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.10	3	1	2	17.9	15.6	2.24	13.7	16.8	-3.05
Glen Davis	4	5	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	7	-10	14.5	16.4	-1.87	13.4	16.0	-2.64
Leon Powe	1	1	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	6	-8	5.0	16.4	-11.42	0.0	16.1	-16.07
Eddie House	27	27	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.05	-5	9	-14	17.7	15.7	1.97	14.6	16.5	-1.86
Kendrick Perkins	49	49	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	-0.14	-3	7	-10	14.8	18.1	-3.28	17.1	14.4	2.61
Tony Allen	15	17	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.05	-10	14	-24	17.1	16.1	1.01	13.1	16.6	-3.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.58,0.42,0.41,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 94, MEM 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.8,0.88,0.83,0.89,0.81,0.84,0.63,0.65,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.74,0.66,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.76,0.96,1	91.5%
ORL 95, CLE 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.62,0.79,0.69,0.92,1	91.4%
POR 88, BOS 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.73,1	91.4%