NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	106		Excitement	7.8 [322]		MVP	Darren Collison (IND): +30.4%
Indiana Pacers	99		Comeback	4.3 [427]		LVP	Bojan Bogdanovic (IND): -15.1%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.03	0.12	-0.00	9	50%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Pascal Siakam	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.05	-0.00	7	75%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
DeMar DeRozan	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13	0.06	0.07	-0.00	15	65%	0.24	4	-0.10	7	86%	0.02
Delon Wright	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	57%	0.07	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.00
Malcolm Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jakob Poeltl	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	1	100%	0.07	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.02	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.03	0.02	14	48%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Kyle Lowry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.01	10	54%	0.09	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Serge Ibaka	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	13	50%	0.05	6	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.3	0.30	0.17	0.13	0.00	11	79%	0.30	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.02	-0.02	15	61%	0.14	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Glenn Robinson III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	13	50%	0.05	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	9	50%	0.03	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	19	46%	-0.02	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.07	0.01	10	26%	-0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	1.8	30.5	15.8	29.2	2.4	32.6	137.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +24.3%

TOR +27.3%

TOR +29.8%

IND -29.4%

IND -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	IND	NBA	TOR	IND	NBA
this game	15.2	14.9	14.7	110.4	104.2	107.5
season	14.6	14.8		112.7	108.3
opponent	15.0	14.8		106.7	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.0	14.4	15.9	15.9	15.2
IND	13.3	15.0	16.1	15.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	67	65	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.22	12	-5	17	14.8	16.2	-1.39	14.4	16.1	-1.78
Serge Ibaka	67	65	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.09	15	-8	23	14.7	16.5	-1.78	14.0	16.8	-2.75
DeMar DeRozan	67	65	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.07	13	-6	19	14.7	16.4	-1.63	14.1	16.6	-2.46
Delon Wright	36	37	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.35	2	5	-3	16.2	14.6	1.57	15.8	14.3	1.47
Jonas Valanciunas	56	55	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.09	6	1	5	14.7	16.0	-1.26	14.4	15.6	-1.18
CJ Miles	39	39	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.28	-2	9	-11	16.4	14.4	2.01	16.0	14.1	1.88
Pascal Siakam	40	39	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.20	-2	9	-11	15.9	14.7	1.22	15.3	14.6	0.66
Jakob Poeltl	28	30	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.18	-4	11	-15	16.7	14.6	2.08	17.5	13.7	3.78
Malcolm Miller	46	46	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.09	4	3	1	14.2	16.2	-1.96	14.8	15.0	-0.22
Fred VanVleet	34	34	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.07	-9	16	-25	15.9	14.9	1.00	15.1	14.8	0.31

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson III	23	23	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-10	13	13.9	15.2	-1.32	15.9	15.0	0.89
Trevor Booker	36	36	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-12	17	15.3	14.7	0.58	16.1	14.7	1.39
Al Jefferson	47	50	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.18	3	-10	13	16.7	13.2	3.45	15.4	15.0	0.38
Bojan Bogdanovic	63	64	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	-1	-5	14.9	15.0	-0.13	14.3	17.2	-2.92
Lance Stephenson	32	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-7	7	16.6	14.1	2.48	16.3	14.7	1.66
Darren Collison	56	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.42	2	-9	11	14.5	15.5	-0.93	15.4	14.9	0.50
Myles Turner	39	38	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.09	-10	3	-13	14.8	15.0	-0.21	15.4	15.1	0.34
Cory Joseph	51	52	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.07	-12	5	-17	14.4	15.5	-1.05	15.1	15.4	-0.23
Thaddeus Young	63	63	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.19	-10	3	-13	14.1	16.5	-2.39	15.0	15.7	-0.70
Victor Oladipo	65	66	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.25	-10	3	-13	14.6	15.6	-1.00	14.8	16.2	-1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.78,0.69,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.53,0.67,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.17,0.14,0.04,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 92, MIA 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.69,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.04,0.04,0	92.1%
DET 87, WAS 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.42,0.59,0.41,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.02,0.02,0	92.0%
HOU 112, SAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.6,0.71,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.62,0.74,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.02,0.01,0	91.8%