NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	114		Excitement	3.1 [1177]		MVP	Nikola Mirotic (NOP): +19.1%
Sacramento Kings	101		Comeback	1.2 [1048]		LVP	Bogdan Bogdanovic (SAC): -9.8%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Mirotic	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.27	0.01	0.09	12	100%	0.21	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Davis	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	11	74%	0.08	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Ian Clark	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	11	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	14	54%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	17	62%	0.06	4	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
DeAndre Liggins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	3	86%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.10	-0.00	0.07	9	70%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.03	17	53%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Frank Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.08	0.00	0.08	10	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Caboclo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	8	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	0.00	0.06	18	53%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Skal Labissiere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	0.04	12	54%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	6	0%	-0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	29.2	14.8	24.3	2.7	25.0	120.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +52.7%

NOP +3.0%

SAC -1.4%

SAC -4.4%

NOP +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	SAC	NBA	NOP	SAC	NBA
this game	13.8	16.3	14.7	117.5	106.3	107.5
season	13.6	15.4		108.0	102.9
opponent	14.7	14.6		110.1	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	12.7	11.0	15.8	16.5	13.8
SAC	16.6	14.9	16.2	17.8	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Mirotic	63	62	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.12	11	2	9	13.5	14.2	-0.74	15.8	17.2	-1.35
Darius Miller	60	58	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.04	16	-3	19	13.1	14.8	-1.62	16.4	16.0	0.45
Ian Clark	41	41	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.02	14	-1	15	11.8	15.2	-3.33	14.8	17.4	-2.54
E'Twaun Moore	69	67	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	0	13	14.2	12.6	1.61	16.3	16.1	0.24
Jrue Holiday	67	66	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.04	8	5	3	14.1	13.0	1.09	17.0	14.6	2.43
Anthony Davis	46	45	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.01	8	5	3	14.1	13.5	0.59	16.6	16.0	0.54
Rajon Rondo	64	63	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.14	2	11	-9	13.8	13.6	0.18	16.0	16.7	-0.67
Emeka Okafor	32	32	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.05	6	7	-1	15.2	13.0	2.23	16.4	16.2	0.15
Cheick Diallo	26	25	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.19	-4	17	-21	13.3	13.9	-0.66	17.0	16.0	0.93
DeAndre Liggins	17	16	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.23	-9	22	-31	15.2	13.4	1.73	16.6	16.2	0.42

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
De'Aaron Fox	11	10	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-14	15	17.7	16.1	1.64	12.7	13.9	-1.17
Bruno Caboclo	11	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.13	4	-17	21	18.2	16.0	2.16	16.4	13.4	2.95
JaKarr Sampson	36	37	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-15	17	15.9	16.5	-0.57	13.5	13.9	-0.47
Kosta Koufos	40	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-7	1	16.7	15.9	0.78	14.1	13.5	0.60
Justin Jackson	60	62	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-9	5	16.1	16.5	-0.34	13.4	14.4	-1.01
Zach Randolph	52	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	-4	-5	16.7	15.8	0.84	14.2	13.3	0.91
Skal Labissiere	55	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-6	-1	15.9	16.7	-0.78	13.5	14.1	-0.60
Garrett Temple	38	40	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.07	-14	1	-15	16.1	16.4	-0.28	14.4	13.3	1.19
Bogdan Bogdanovic	53	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.03	-13	0	-13	16.1	16.5	-0.36	13.7	13.9	-0.20
Buddy Hield	61	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.14	-8	-5	-3	16.2	16.4	-0.17	13.7	13.9	-0.20
Frank Mason	58	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	-2	-9	16.0	16.8	-0.79	13.3	14.4	-1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 98, DEN 74	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
ORL 118, HOU 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
HOU 112, NJN 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%