inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 112 Excitement2.8 [1221] MVPKyle Lowry (HOU): +9.5%
New Jersey Nets 87 Comeback1.3 [1097] LVPAnthony Morrow (NJN): -13.9%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Lowry0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.05-0.00-0.051359%0.122-0.031100%0.00
Goran Dragic0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.140.000.096108%0.0600.0000%0.00
Chase Budinger0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.01-0.00-0.041145%0.0310.0000%0.00
Patrick Patterson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.070.000.05968%0.031-0.001100%-0.00
Kevin Martin0.020,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.010.021850%0.041-0.024100%0.01
Jordan Hill0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00861%0.042-0.03250%-0.01
Brad Miller0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Harris0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeMarre Carroll0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Courtney Lee-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.01856%0.022-0.0300%0.00
Luis Scola-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.001040%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Charles Hayes-0.020,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.021133%-0.0200.002100%0.01

New Jersey Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brook Lopez0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.08-0.000.021659%0.092-0.03540%-0.03
Jordan Farmar0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.011060%0.032-0.0100%0.00
Sasha Vujacic0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.000.03955%0.0100.002100%0.00
Dan Gadzuric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandan Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.01250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Ben Uzoh0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.020.000.03771%0.012-0.0100%0.00
Stephen Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.000.021100%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Johan Petro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.070.00-0.041236%-0.032-0.001100%0.00
Travis Outlaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.080.01-0.03629%-0.012-0.032100%0.01
Kris Humphries0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.050.000.011030%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Anthony Morrow0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.10-0.010.031432%-0.102-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.52.724.615.322.72.422.2113.5
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +31.6%
HOU +2.8%
HOU +10.6%
HOU +4.7%
HOU +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUNJNNBAHOUNJNNBA
this game15.815.115.5120.493.5105.7
season15.216.4109.5101.6
opponent15.314.9108.5107.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU13.015.415.420.415.8
NJN15.215.314.615.615.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Charles Hayes64640.470.030.44-0.2926-12714.618.5-3.9115.614.11.51
Kyle Lowry59590.450.050.40-0.172141714.018.9-4.9115.414.60.78
Chase Budinger64650.430.070.36-0.252322115.716.2-0.5015.115.3-0.26
Luis Scola46450.330.170.17-0.16178914.117.5-3.3615.514.80.63
Courtney Lee48490.320.180.14-0.031213-116.415.31.0915.614.61.00
Kevin Martin63630.240.26-0.01-0.02916-714.418.8-4.3415.314.80.45
Patrick Patterson41430.170.33-0.17-0.01619-1316.915.01.9215.115.2-0.13
Goran Dragic34340.050.45-0.40-0.07421-1718.914.04.9114.615.4-0.78
Jordan Hill28280.040.46-0.420.01124-2318.814.64.2313.915.7-1.73
Brad Miller650.000.50-0.50-0.06223-2121.515.46.0612.815.3-2.47
Michael Harris650.000.50-0.50-0.06223-2121.515.46.0612.815.3-2.47
DeMarre Carroll650.000.50-0.50-0.06223-2121.515.46.0612.815.3-2.47

New Jersey Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dan Gadzuric1516-0.00-0.500.490.08-3-221914.415.3-0.8821.114.76.32
Brandan Wright2121-0.00-0.500.490.08-3-221915.715.00.7420.014.65.39
Stephen Graham2424-0.04-0.460.430.11-5-201513.915.6-1.6520.214.35.85
Kris Humphries4849-0.15-0.350.190.05-7-181114.615.7-1.1114.317.5-3.13
Ben Uzoh4141-0.25-0.25-0.000.22-16-9-715.814.61.1517.814.33.54
Jordan Farmar5756-0.26-0.24-0.010.07-11-14315.015.3-0.3214.517.8-3.25
Anthony Morrow6363-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.05-8-17914.716.0-1.3215.316.9-1.58
Johan Petro4040-0.33-0.17-0.170.08-14-11-315.614.80.8516.915.01.88
Sasha Vujacic5757-0.34-0.16-0.180.13-16-9-715.414.70.6413.819.0-5.22
Brook Lopez6059-0.37-0.13-0.240.25-21-4-1715.015.3-0.2514.518.1-3.56
Travis Outlaw3939-0.46-0.04-0.420.15-21-4-1716.014.51.4815.116.4-1.34


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 116, NJN 960.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.9%
NOP 114, SAC 1010.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,096.9%
OKC 115, TOR 890.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.7%