NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	116		Excitement	2.6 [1248]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +9.4%
New Jersey Nets	96		Comeback	1.4 [441]		LVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): -8.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.17	0.00	0.08	26	60%	0.10	1	-0.01	15	93%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.00	5	83%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Kyle Korver	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.04	7	71%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.00	0.06	6	79%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
John Salmons	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	70%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	18	46%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Willie Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	10	40%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Michael Bradley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	10	75%	0.09	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.03	15	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	6	69%	-0.00	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	6	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	47%	-0.01	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	6	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	8	44%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.01	0.00	7	42%	-0.04	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.4	28.5	15.4	24.4	1.7	28.1	127.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +30.1%

NJN -1.3%

PHI +9.7%

PHI +10.8%

PHI +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NJN	NBA	PHI	NJN	NBA
this game	15.3	15.0	15.6	122.1	101.1	104.4
season	15.2	15.7		104.1	102.1
opponent	15.7	15.3		100.9	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.1	15.5	14.3	17.7	15.3
NJN	15.9	15.1	12.3	17.4	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	78	78	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.29	27	-7	34	14.5	18.9	-4.44	14.7	16.4	-1.69
Steven Hunter	42	42	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.54	34	-14	48	14.4	16.0	-1.55	15.8	14.4	1.37
Andre Iguodala	74	74	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.25	21	-1	22	15.1	16.0	-0.84	15.0	15.1	-0.10
Willie Green	38	38	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	17	-14	16.7	14.4	2.36	16.0	14.4	1.63
Kyle Korver	36	38	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.33	20	0	20	15.3	15.3	0.06	16.0	14.4	1.59
Chris Webber	63	62	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	15	-10	14.7	16.5	-1.77	14.1	16.8	-2.71
John Salmons	56	56	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.03	9	11	-2	14.9	15.8	-0.94	13.6	17.1	-3.49
Matt Barnes	30	30	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.17	12	8	4	16.0	15.0	1.08	16.5	14.3	2.21
Michael Bradley	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	28	-36	19.3	14.8	4.48	16.8	14.8	1.94
Lou Williams	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	28	-36	19.3	14.8	4.48	16.8	14.8	1.94
Shavlik Randolph	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	30	-40	19.0	14.8	4.24	16.7	14.8	1.88
Samuel Dalembert	26	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.14	-5	25	-30	14.1	15.7	-1.62	13.6	15.6	-2.00

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Padgett	19	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.04	1	-21	22	17.4	14.4	3.00	17.9	14.6	3.25
Bostjan Nachbar	34	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.00	-2	-18	16	16.7	14.1	2.58	17.4	14.0	3.46
Jason Kidd	57	56	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	-15	10	13.2	17.7	-4.48	14.8	16.0	-1.20
Lamond Murray	36	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.10	-10	-10	0	17.1	13.7	3.37	16.6	14.5	2.03
Zoran Planinic	32	32	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.14	-12	-8	-4	17.4	13.8	3.64	16.4	14.7	1.68
Clifford Robinson	52	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.08	-12	-8	-4	14.1	16.1	-2.04	14.3	16.6	-2.33
Vince Carter	66	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-11	2	14.0	17.3	-3.34	14.8	16.3	-1.46
Jacque Vaughn	45	45	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.14	-18	-2	-16	16.9	13.3	3.63	15.5	15.1	0.33
Nenad Krstic	70	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	-7	-6	14.3	17.0	-2.74	14.7	17.0	-2.29
Richard Jefferson	64	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.14	-20	0	-20	13.9	17.4	-3.46	14.3	17.2	-2.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 119, MIL 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
HOU 112, NJN 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
ATL 88, DET 72	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%