NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	119		Excitement	2.6 [1230]		MVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): +8.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	97		Comeback	1.4 [752]		LVP	Andrew Bogut (MIL): -8.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.17	0.00	0.08	11	79%	0.09	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Lou Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.04	8	65%	0.07	2	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.00	0.05	11	75%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	3	69%	0.03	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.00
Willie Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	10	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	10	68%	0.07	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.05	6	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	16	44%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	0.00	0.09	20	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Awvee Storey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	29%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	5	80%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.08	0.00	0.09	5	80%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	20	43%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	83%	0.02	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0.04	14	52%	-0.02	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	4	10%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	28.0	15.6	27.8	2.7	27.3	128.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +36.4%

PHI +5.8%

PHI +5.2%

PHI +4.1%

MIL -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIL	NBA	PHI	MIL	NBA
this game	15.8	15.4	15.4	129.3	104.3	105.7
season	15.2	15.8		104.0	103.4
opponent	15.2	16.2		110.7	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.1	17.0	14.9	18.7	15.8
MIL	15.7	17.2	14.5	14.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	77	76	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.15	19	3	16	14.8	20.8	-6.02	16.0	12.5	3.48
Samuel Dalembert	73	74	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.16	18	4	14	14.9	19.1	-4.15	15.3	15.7	-0.39
Andre Miller	73	72	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.19	19	3	16	15.8	15.5	0.36	14.7	17.7	-2.96
Thaddeus Young	62	63	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	11	0	15.7	16.0	-0.31	14.3	17.6	-3.28
Willie Green	46	46	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.06	12	10	2	14.2	17.3	-3.09	14.9	15.9	-0.96
Lou Williams	46	47	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.09	10	12	-2	17.3	14.2	3.09	15.9	14.9	0.96
Jason Smith	15	16	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.08	9	13	-4	16.7	15.6	1.16	18.6	14.7	3.85
Rodney Carney	19	20	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.04	7	15	-8	18.4	15.1	3.29	16.3	15.1	1.18
Reggie Evans	31	30	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.13	10	12	-2	16.2	15.6	0.60	17.7	14.3	3.38
Kevin Ollie	12	13	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.12	-4	26	-30	18.2	15.4	2.86	13.2	15.7	-2.58
Shavlik Randolph	6	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	23	-24	21.2	15.4	5.78	10.7	15.8	-5.06

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Voskuhl	10	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-19	16	10.8	15.9	-5.13	16.2	15.7	0.51
Ramon Sessions	10	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-19	16	10.8	15.9	-5.13	16.2	15.7	0.51
Royal Ivey	37	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-23	24	14.7	15.8	-1.07	14.8	16.4	-1.57
Andrew Bogut	55	56	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.19	0	-22	22	14.9	16.1	-1.28	14.8	17.2	-2.36
Awvee Storey	35	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.21	-14	-8	-6	16.6	14.6	1.96	18.5	14.2	4.29
Bobby Simmons	23	24	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.07	-11	-11	0	17.1	14.8	2.27	16.7	15.4	1.28
Desmond Mason	57	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-16	10	14.6	16.6	-2.06	14.4	18.0	-3.66
Charlie Villanueva	66	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	-10	-2	16.3	13.2	3.04	15.5	16.5	-1.04
Michael Ruffin	42	39	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.37	-25	3	-28	16.7	14.3	2.35	16.6	15.1	1.53
Michael Redd	74	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.03	-14	-8	-6	15.0	16.9	-1.91	15.7	16.1	-0.44
Charlie Bell	56	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.27	-23	1	-24	15.8	14.7	1.07	16.4	14.8	1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 92, NOK 68	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
LAL 111, MEM 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
PHI 116, NJN 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%