NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	88		Excitement	2.5 [1261]		MVP	Tony Delk (ATL): +12.1%
Detroit Pistons	72		Comeback	1.3 [484]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): -10.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.02	10	80%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.03	12	67%	0.10	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	71%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Al Harrington	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.00	-0.07	12	58%	0.06	4	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.10	-0.00	-0.11	13	46%	0.03	5	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Willis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Jason Collier	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.05	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	5	18%	-0.04	3	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.10	3	50%	0.02	4	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	9	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Horace Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	9	45%	-0.01	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	7	39%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	4	10%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	13	50%	-0.06	2	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.16	-0.00	-0.06	21	44%	-0.08	4	-0.03	13	77%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.8	31.6	15.8	26.5	2.4	27.6	132.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +64.6%

DET -1.9%

DET -0.8%

DET -12.2%

ATL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DET	NBA	ATL	DET	NBA
this game	16.0	16.0	15.5	97.8	80.0	104.0
season	15.6	16.7		98.1	103.5
opponent	15.9	15.1		98.9	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.8	16.9	16.0	18.6	16.0
DET	16.5	15.9	19.2	12.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Predrag Drobnjak	70	69	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	3	10	17.0	12.7	4.26	15.9	16.4	-0.57
Antoine Walker	78	79	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	4	8	16.2	14.5	1.74	15.8	17.5	-1.77
Tony Delk	39	38	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	6	4	17.1	15.2	1.88	15.0	16.7	-1.71
Kenny Anderson	41	41	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	6	4	17.5	14.8	2.76	13.7	17.9	-4.19
Josh Smith	49	50	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.04	11	5	6	15.2	17.0	-1.77	16.8	15.0	1.78
Josh Childress	36	35	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.01	8	8	0	16.8	15.5	1.32	15.5	16.3	-0.73
Boris Diaw	48	49	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.02	9	7	2	14.8	17.4	-2.61	17.4	14.3	3.16
Al Harrington	60	59	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	14	-12	15.5	17.1	-1.63	16.7	14.7	2.00
Jason Collier	27	27	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	12	-8	13.1	17.3	-4.20	18.0	15.1	2.82
Kevin Willis	2	3	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	15	-14	13.0	16.1	-3.08	5.7	16.3	-10.68

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Horace Jenkins	26	28	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.28	7	-23	30	13.3	17.1	-3.82	18.7	14.8	3.92
Elden Campbell	35	34	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-14	12	17.0	15.3	1.70	14.9	16.7	-1.77
Darko Milicic	45	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.22	2	-18	20	14.8	17.2	-2.38	17.5	14.5	3.04
Chauncey Billups	46	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.10	-9	-7	-2	17.6	14.3	3.31	14.2	17.9	-3.76
Carlos Delfino	14	14	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.08	-10	-6	-4	17.7	15.7	2.04	16.0	16.0	-0.01
Darvin Ham	22	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	-9	2	16.2	15.9	0.26	16.4	15.9	0.50
Lindsey Hunter	34	32	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.23	-19	3	-22	14.9	16.6	-1.73	15.9	16.1	-0.11
Richard Hamilton	77	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-7	-2	16.1	15.4	0.71	16.0	15.9	0.11
Tayshaun Prince	71	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.04	-16	0	-16	16.1	15.7	0.39	15.9	16.6	-0.72
Ben Wallace	80	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.02	-17	1	-18	16.1	15.2	0.89	15.8	17.6	-1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 97, CLE 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	97.2%
PHI 111, IND 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
PHI 97, SAS 78	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%