NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	111		Excitement	2.4 [1206]		MVP	Tyrone Hill (PHI): +6.7%
Indiana Pacers	101		Comeback	1.4 [237]		LVP	Reggie Miller (IND): -6.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Hill	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	13	59%	0.07	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.00
Toni Kukoc	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.10	18	46%	0.05	2	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01
Todd MacCulloch	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.11	-0.00	0.09	25	59%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Lang	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	12	50%	0.04	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Matt Geiger	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	11	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	14	61%	0.05	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	10	65%	0.03	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Zan Tabak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	8	60%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	8	31%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	4	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	0.04	15	50%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	12	44%	-0.05	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.4	29.5	19.6	27.2	2.6	29.3	136.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +34.2%

IND -1.8%

PHI +15.0%

PHI +2.1%

PHI +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	IND	NBA	PHI	IND	NBA
this game	15.9	14.4	15.2	116.8	106.3	101.7
season	15.0	15.4		99.5	106.5
opponent	15.1	15.5		101.8	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.0	17.0	15.1	17.5	15.9
IND	15.4	16.5	14.9	11.3	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toni Kukoc	81	80	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.01	17	-7	24	15.8	16.2	-0.39	14.5	14.2	0.28
Theo Ratliff	78	77	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.17	22	-12	34	15.6	17.2	-1.57	15.7	9.2	6.50
Eric Snow	81	81	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.18	22	-12	34	15.6	17.4	-1.81	14.8	12.2	2.60
Allen Iverson	80	80	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	-6	22	15.7	17.0	-1.32	14.3	15.3	-1.07
Matt Geiger	30	29	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.22	0	10	-10	17.5	15.1	2.41	13.9	14.7	-0.77
Tyrone Hill	49	52	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.03	5	5	0	15.5	16.3	-0.86	14.4	14.5	-0.10
Aaron McKie	39	41	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.28	-5	15	-20	16.4	15.5	0.94	14.4	14.4	0.01
Todd MacCulloch	15	14	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	9	-8	15.9	15.9	0.06	17.1	14.0	3.18
Nazr Mohammed	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	14	-18	13.5	16.0	-2.49	8.3	14.6	-6.30
Antonio Lang	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	14	-18	13.5	16.0	-2.49	8.3	14.6	-6.30
Jumaine Jones	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	18	-26	16.7	15.8	0.84	6.7	15.0	-8.29
Kevin Ollie	8	9	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	22	-34	19.4	15.6	3.81	8.6	15.0	-6.49

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Bender	10	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-17	24	6.8	15.3	-8.53	14.8	16.0	-1.21
Zan Tabak	15	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.41	14	-24	38	8.3	15.6	-7.32	17.0	15.7	1.34
Al Harrington	22	22	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.26	7	-17	24	15.1	14.2	0.86	19.0	14.9	4.11
Sam Perkins	32	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-6	2	16.3	13.5	2.84	17.1	15.4	1.71
Derrick McKey	43	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.10	-11	1	-12	15.5	13.6	1.89	15.6	16.1	-0.48
Travis Best	52	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.42	6	-16	22	14.0	15.0	-1.04	16.8	14.7	2.05
Mark Jackson	43	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.21	-16	6	-22	15.0	14.0	1.04	14.7	16.8	-2.05
Austin Croshere	52	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.30	1	-11	12	13.6	15.5	-1.89	16.1	15.6	0.48
Rik Smits	48	50	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.24	-20	10	-30	15.1	13.7	1.36	14.8	17.0	-2.20
Reggie Miller	74	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.23	-23	13	-36	15.3	11.5	3.73	15.5	17.1	-1.64
Jalen Rose	84	85	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.17	-11	1	-12	14.4	14.4	0.08	15.5	18.8	-3.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 97, SAS 78	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
MEM 114, SAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
DET 92, NOK 68	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%