inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 115 Excitement2.4 [1253] MVPKevin Durant (OKC): +10.9%
Toronto Raptors 89 Comeback1.2 [763] LVPJose Calderon (TOR): -4.9%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0.110,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.190.000.081662%0.1100.001894%0.05
Kyle Weaver0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.110.020.056100%0.0710.0000%0.00
Jeff Green0.050,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.120.010.091960%0.0500.00475%-0.00
Russell Westbrook0.040,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.03-0.00-0.071044%0.042-0.005100%0.02
Serge Ibaka0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.090.00-0.09520%0.0020.0000%0.00
DJ White0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01657%0.0010.002100%0.00
Kevin Ollie0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Etan Thomas0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01233%0.0000.002100%0.00
Eric Maynor-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.06633%0.022-0.0200%0.00
Nick Collison-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.01743%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.01550%-0.021-0.0020%-0.02
Nenad Krstic-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.011233%-0.0400.0000%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.001358%0.0600.0000%0.00
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.03767%0.0020.004100%0.00
Marcus Banks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02287%0.0020.00475%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.090.00-0.0930%-0.0020.0000%0.00
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.070.000.07470%-0.0000.00250%-0.00
Reggie Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.03337%-0.001-0.00250%0.00
Sonny Weems0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02850%-0.012-0.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.02-0.000.051461%0.034-0.068100%0.02
Jarrett Jack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.00-0.03420%-0.0310.002100%-0.00
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.00-0.00533%-0.021-0.022100%0.01
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.030.000.02542%-0.031-0.02250%-0.00
Jose Calderon0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.01-0.03540%0.013-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.71.830.714.827.12.529.6133.2
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +8.0%
OKC +13.5%
OKC +16.3%
OKC +11.7%
OKC +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCTORNBAOKCTORNBA
this game15.514.215.3118.691.8106.0
season15.015.0106.2109.6
opponent15.515.5111.5103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC14.714.215.218.015.5
TOR13.514.614.114.714.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Durant66660.460.040.41-0.4531-53614.816.8-2.0213.914.9-1.04
Russell Westbrook53540.400.100.29-0.372602616.014.81.1413.714.9-1.22
Jeff Green69680.360.140.23-0.372512415.016.6-1.6614.114.6-0.46
Nick Collison29290.290.210.07-0.121412213.216.4-3.1715.113.81.30
Kyle Weaver39400.260.240.010.08620-1416.215.01.2415.013.61.40
Serge Ibaka30300.210.29-0.080.01719-1216.015.20.7314.814.00.78
Nenad Krstic46460.210.29-0.08-0.321881015.715.30.3613.415.0-1.55
Thabo Sefolosha59590.210.29-0.08-0.321881015.215.8-0.5813.415.5-2.14
Eric Maynor44430.100.40-0.290.10026-2614.816.0-1.1414.913.71.22
DJ White22220.000.50-0.500.18-632-3818.014.73.2814.714.10.65
Kevin Ollie16160.000.50-0.500.15-531-3617.415.12.2915.913.92.05
Etan Thomas12120.000.50-0.500.12-430-3416.715.31.3714.614.20.41

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marcus Banks16160.00-0.500.50-0.155-313615.913.92.0517.415.12.29
Rasho Nesterovic2222-0.00-0.500.50-0.186-323814.714.10.6518.014.73.28
Reggie Evans3233-0.01-0.490.49-0.124-303414.614.00.5915.215.6-0.38
Marco Belinelli4746-0.14-0.360.23-0.05-3-232014.713.71.0015.715.30.44
Sonny Weems5959-0.17-0.330.160.01-6-201414.713.51.1915.515.40.07
Amir Johnson3435-0.20-0.300.110.10-10-16614.214.2-0.0314.016.3-2.34
Jarrett Jack3535-0.24-0.260.030.03-9-17814.014.4-0.4015.015.7-0.77
Jose Calderon4646-0.26-0.24-0.030.38-22-4-1813.814.6-0.7615.215.7-0.55
Hedo Turkoglu3435-0.29-0.21-0.080.12-14-12-213.414.7-1.2515.915.20.75
Chris Bosh6060-0.36-0.14-0.220.28-22-4-1814.114.4-0.3315.515.40.18
DeMar DeRozan5453-0.40-0.10-0.300.45-293-3213.814.8-1.0115.115.9-0.77
Andrea Bargnani4645-0.44-0.06-0.380.44-304-3413.914.5-0.6415.215.7-0.41


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 116, DET 880.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.0%
SAS 105, ATL 790.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.0%
ORL 139, SAC 1070.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.23,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.8%