inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 139 Excitement2.6 [1233] MVPJameer Nelson (ORL): +14.4%
Sacramento Kings 107 Comeback1.0 [1186] LVPHedo Turkoglu (ORL): -4.2%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jameer Nelson0.140,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.220.000.071288%0.1400.002100%0.00
JJ Redick0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.00-0.00979%0.1400.001100%0.00
Dwight Howard0.100,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.170.010.081081%0.132-0.041182%0.01
Rashard Lewis0.080,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.140.000.061273%0.0800.002100%0.01
Keith Bogans0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.130.000.076100%0.0600.0000%0.00
Courtney Lee0.040,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.100.000.065110%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Marcin Gortat0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.01357%0.0210.0010%0.00
Anthony Johnson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.040.00-0.06530%0.011-0.0000%0.00
Brian Cook0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021150%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jeremy Richardson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01350%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Battie-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.020.000.01367%0.002-0.0300%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu-0.040,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.011257%0.015-0.06667%-0.01

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Martin0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.190.000.071370%0.131-0.011788%0.01
Bobby Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.000.02965%0.041-0.002100%0.01
Jason Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00-0.02948%0.031-0.01367%0.01
Bobby Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.00-0.04450%0.0120.0000%0.00
Francisco Garcia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.040.000.04860%0.0010.00967%-0.01
Brad Miller0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00275%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Shelden Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kenny Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Beno Udrih0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.01757%0.022-0.0300%0.00
John Salmons0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.000.03956%0.002-0.0300%0.00
Mikki Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Spencer Hawes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.020.000.011644%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.52.430.015.727.22.528.7133.9
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +45.6%
ORL +0.3%
ORL +7.5%
SAC -3.0%
SAC -0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLSACNBAORLSACNBA
this game13.815.315.5139.0109.2106.4
season15.315.0107.3104.0
opponent15.115.8112.7101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL13.413.315.313.313.8
SAC13.816.716.015.015.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwight Howard67650.420.080.34-0.141913613.714.1-0.4215.115.7-0.60
Rashard Lewis55550.350.150.20-0.232012813.214.6-1.4015.115.5-0.38
Keith Bogans48480.320.180.15-0.201814414.413.21.1715.315.3-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu73710.320.180.15-0.201814414.013.20.8115.614.41.23
Jameer Nelson58570.260.240.02-0.271814412.915.0-2.1314.616.2-1.59
JJ Redick56530.250.25-0.01-0.462481614.213.30.8814.815.9-1.18
Anthony Johnson33330.240.26-0.02-0.141319-615.413.02.4117.414.23.12
Tony Battie27260.140.36-0.23-0.161022-1215.113.31.8316.614.81.74
Courtney Lee35350.120.38-0.270.06230-2812.314.6-2.2614.515.7-1.26
Marcin Gortat23230.080.42-0.34-0.211022-1214.713.51.1516.714.91.83
Brian Cook10100.000.50-0.50-0.09329-2612.713.9-1.2313.415.5-2.11
Jeremy Richardson15140.000.50-0.50-0.15527-2212.614.0-1.4213.815.5-1.76

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shelden Williams16160.00-0.500.500.15-5-272214.615.4-0.8012.914.0-1.04
Kenny Thomas66-0.03-0.470.44-0.030-323215.815.30.579.214.1-4.94
Mikki Moore1111-0.14-0.360.220.04-6-262020.114.75.4017.113.43.69
Bobby Brown3534-0.15-0.350.190.26-14-18415.615.10.5214.313.60.73
Bobby Jackson5254-0.16-0.340.190.25-14-18415.315.30.0314.612.91.66
Jason Thompson5453-0.17-0.340.170.27-15-17214.816.0-1.2012.215.7-3.49
Beno Udrih3838-0.20-0.300.100.12-11-211015.015.5-0.4812.214.8-2.62
Francisco Garcia5053-0.24-0.260.020.32-19-13-616.214.41.7614.912.62.33
Brad Miller4445-0.28-0.22-0.060.10-13-19614.216.2-1.9813.713.9-0.22
Kevin Martin6668-0.36-0.14-0.230.22-20-12-815.016.0-1.0013.614.2-0.60
Spencer Hawes5254-0.37-0.13-0.240.28-22-10-1215.814.71.0515.212.22.95
John Salmons6668-0.40-0.10-0.310.21-21-11-1015.015.8-0.7713.614.3-0.74


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.23,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 113, CHA 850.5,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.1%
ORL 105, ATL 750.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.9%
MIN 95, VAN 760.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.9%