NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	113		Excitement	2.4 [1017]		MVP	Jordan Crawford (WAS): +8.9%
Charlotte Bobcats	85		Comeback	1.0 [520]		LVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): -6.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Crawford	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.00	0.03	12	69%	0.10	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.01
Cartier Martin	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.13	0.00	0.05	13	70%	0.08	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
James Singleton	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.00	0.04	9	72%	0.08	1	-0.01	7	86%	-0.00
Chris Singleton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	61%	0.02	1	0.00	10	70%	-0.02
Jan Vesely	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	11	48%	0.04	2	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.11	0.00	0.10	12	71%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	10	45%	0.01	4	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
John Wall	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.14	0.00	0.07	12	72%	0.11	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.01
Byron Mullens	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	11	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Cory Higgins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	9	30%	-0.02	2	-0.00	2	0%	-0.02
DJ White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	12	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	-0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	0.04	14	50%	-0.01	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.7	26.3	16.3	26.5	1.0	24.3	121.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +36.7%

WAS +0.1%

WAS +1.0%

WAS +11.4%

WAS +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHA	NBA	WAS	CHA	NBA
this game	14.2	15.8	15.6	117.7	88.5	102.8
season	15.0	16.3		99.5	94.1
opponent	15.0	15.7		108.9	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.0	13.5	16.0	14.5	14.2
CHA	15.2	18.6	15.3	14.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Singleton	75	74	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.33	26	2	24	14.4	13.7	0.71	15.8	15.6	0.19
John Wall	50	49	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.29	21	7	14	14.3	14.1	0.25	16.6	14.9	1.74
Kevin Seraphin	56	57	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.11	14	14	0	13.8	14.8	-1.00	16.6	14.5	2.09
Jordan Crawford	43	44	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.13	14	14	0	13.7	14.6	-0.94	15.8	15.8	-0.02
Jan Vesely	52	52	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.17	15	13	2	14.4	14.0	0.49	15.1	16.6	-1.45
Chris Singleton	35	35	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.21	16	12	4	13.9	14.4	-0.43	16.1	15.6	0.57
Cartier Martin	61	61	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.11	12	16	-4	14.4	13.9	0.43	15.6	16.1	-0.57
Roger Mason Jr.	53	52	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.19	14	14	0	14.6	13.7	0.94	15.8	15.8	0.02
Shelvin Mack	46	47	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.03	7	21	-14	14.1	14.3	-0.25	14.9	16.6	-1.74
Brian Cook	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	27	-26	14.2	14.2	0.00	13.9	16.0	-2.09

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrus Thomas	32	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-26	24	14.4	16.5	-2.11	13.8	14.4	-0.56
DJ White	35	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-24	20	15.4	16.0	-0.60	14.8	13.8	0.98
Matt Carroll	35	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.05	-6	-22	16	15.5	15.9	-0.42	14.2	14.2	-0.07
Cory Higgins	52	53	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.02	-7	-21	14	14.7	17.1	-2.42	14.6	13.7	0.86
Corey Maggette	40	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	-17	6	14.7	16.6	-1.90	14.0	14.4	-0.47
Bismack Biyombo	30	28	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.19	-16	-12	-4	17.2	15.1	2.11	12.1	15.1	-2.93
Kemba Walker	71	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.32	-22	-6	-16	15.9	15.4	0.57	14.8	12.7	2.09
Gerald Henderson	53	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.20	-18	-10	-8	16.5	14.9	1.63	13.9	14.6	-0.74
Byron Mullens	51	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.26	-22	-6	-16	16.5	15.0	1.55	13.9	14.5	-0.59
Derrick Brown	58	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.29	-25	-3	-22	16.6	14.5	2.16	14.1	14.4	-0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 116, WAS 89	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
NYK 105, PHX 75	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
ATL 116, PHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.19,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%