NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	116		Excitement	2.6 [1247]		MVP	Daequan Cook (OKC): +12.1%
Washington Wizards	89		Comeback	1.0 [1221]		LVP	Josh Howard (WAS): -9.4%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daequan Cook	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.17	0.00	0.06	9	100%	0.12	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.24	0.00	0.16	16	78%	0.10	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.02
Serge Ibaka	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	10	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	5	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	75%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	15	53%	0.04	5	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
James Harden	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	11	62%	0.03	3	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	2	50%	0.00	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.04	11	45%	0.05	0	0.00	9	67%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	10	64%	0.03	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	9	60%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamady Ndiaye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Mustafa Shakur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	9	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	13	46%	-0.01	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.13	-0.00	-0.06	16	31%	-0.05	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	0.00	-0.04	15	44%	-0.01	6	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	0.00	-0.02	6	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.0	28.2	15.6	28.2	2.5	27.2	131.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +36.7%

OKC +2.5%

OKC +0.8%

OKC +9.2%

OKC +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	WAS	NBA	OKC	WAS	NBA
this game	13.9	15.0	15.5	117.2	89.0	105.7
season	15.0	15.1		108.8	100.9
opponent	15.2	15.6		108.7	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.3	13.3	12.9	16.7	13.9
WAS	12.9	15.0	17.1	15.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	57	56	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.19	20	7	13	13.0	15.1	-2.11	15.3	14.6	0.71
Kevin Durant	63	62	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.23	20	7	13	12.8	15.9	-3.08	14.9	15.2	-0.28
Serge Ibaka	51	49	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.18	18	9	9	12.9	15.1	-2.20	15.5	14.5	1.02
Kendrick Perkins	43	43	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.23	18	9	9	13.5	14.2	-0.70	15.3	14.8	0.51
James Harden	49	50	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.04	10	17	-7	13.1	14.8	-1.72	14.6	15.4	-0.78
Thabo Sefolosha	39	38	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.19	15	12	3	13.7	14.1	-0.39	15.2	14.9	0.28
Nick Collison	44	44	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.06	9	18	-9	13.2	14.5	-1.30	14.7	15.3	-0.59
Nazr Mohammed	48	51	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.06	7	20	-13	15.1	12.9	2.20	14.5	15.5	-1.02
Daequan Cook	36	38	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.06	7	20	-13	15.9	12.8	3.08	15.2	14.9	0.28
Eric Maynor	42	44	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.10	7	20	-13	15.1	13.0	2.11	14.6	15.3	-0.71
Royal Ivey	11	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	25	-23	18.6	13.3	5.30	16.1	14.9	1.22
Cole Aldrich	12	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	25	-23	18.0	13.4	4.63	15.2	15.0	0.17

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mustafa Shakur	8	7	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.05	2	-29	31	14.1	15.1	-0.96	19.3	13.5	5.76
Hamady Ndiaye	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-31	35	15.4	15.0	0.43	19.8	13.3	6.53
Jordan Crawford	59	58	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-21	15	14.8	15.3	-0.48	14.2	13.5	0.71
Kevin Seraphin	44	42	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	-20	13	15.4	14.7	0.67	14.6	13.5	1.12
Maurice Evans	34	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.24	-14	-13	-1	14.1	15.5	-1.44	14.5	13.6	0.89
Yi Jianlian	47	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.15	-12	-15	3	15.0	15.0	0.02	13.5	14.3	-0.75
Josh Howard	25	25	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.11	-12	-15	3	15.0	15.0	-0.01	12.2	14.5	-2.31
Trevor Booker	83	84	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	-14	1	15.0	15.0	0.01	14.1	12.9	1.25
JaVale McGee	55	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.46	-28	1	-29	15.4	14.5	0.87	12.8	15.3	-2.53
John Wall	79	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.24	-21	-6	-15	15.2	14.5	0.68	13.3	16.3	-3.03
Nick Young	56	56	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.34	-28	1	-29	15.0	15.1	-0.10	13.9	14.0	-0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 113, CHA 85	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
LAC 107, PHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
MEM 108, ORL 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%