NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	105		Excitement	1.9 [1245]		MVP	Chris Childs (NYK): +9.9%
Phoenix Suns	75		Comeback	1.1 [470]		LVP	Rex Chapman (PHX): -8.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Childs	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.00	-0.04	9	68%	0.10	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Mills	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	9	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
John Starks	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.19	0.00	0.15	10	95%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	18	47%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Allan Houston	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	14	50%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	10	57%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Pete Myers	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	36%	-0.02	1	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Larry Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	0.00	-0.06	11	29%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	12	57%	0.02	1	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Horacio Llamas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.13	0.00	-0.12	8	20%	-0.01	1	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.01	14	53%	-0.01	1	-0.02	8	62%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.03	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	10	32%	-0.03	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.7	28.3	15.7	27.0	2.0	26.4	124.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +32.6%

PHX -0.8%

NYK +14.4%

NYK +2.6%

NYK +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	PHX	NBA	NYK	PHX	NBA
this game	16.9	14.4	15.6	114.1	81.5	102.5
season	15.7	15.0		100.4	105.3
opponent	15.9	16.3		100.0	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.5	14.7	17.3	18.0	16.9
PHX	14.5	16.7	13.3	13.3	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Johnson	69	68	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.32	26	4	22	16.4	18.4	-2.07	14.5	14.2	0.35
Patrick Ewing	50	49	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.22	18	12	6	16.9	16.8	0.09	14.4	14.4	0.01
Allan Houston	60	60	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.31	21	9	12	17.3	16.1	1.25	14.4	14.4	0.03
John Starks	44	45	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.37	23	7	16	16.2	17.5	-1.38	14.8	14.0	0.78
Chris Childs	57	57	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.12	14	16	-2	17.2	16.4	0.82	14.4	14.4	0.04
Charles Oakley	56	56	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.29	19	11	8	17.5	15.9	1.67	14.6	14.1	0.47
Charlie Ward	35	35	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.26	16	14	2	16.4	17.2	-0.82	14.4	14.4	-0.04
Chris Dudley	33	34	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.02	7	23	-16	17.5	16.5	0.94	14.6	14.3	0.31
Chris Mills	45	45	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.06	8	22	-14	16.2	17.5	-1.33	14.0	14.8	-0.79
Pete Myers	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	32	-34	18.1	16.7	1.37	12.3	14.7	-2.44

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hot Rod Williams	3	3	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-30	30	14.0	14.4	-0.44	16.0	16.9	-0.91
Horacio Llamas	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-32	34	12.3	14.7	-2.44	18.1	16.7	1.37
Steve Nash	51	52	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-29	28	14.1	14.8	-0.73	17.2	16.4	0.85
George McCloud	30	30	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.27	-12	-18	6	13.8	14.7	-0.88	17.0	16.8	0.13
Cedric Ceballos	46	47	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-29	28	13.3	15.6	-2.33	17.5	16.2	1.33
Mark Bryant	25	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-26	22	16.2	13.8	2.44	16.4	17.1	-0.69
Danny Manning	50	51	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.15	-2	-28	26	13.8	15.1	-1.28	17.0	16.7	0.31
Rex Chapman	31	31	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.16	-15	-15	0	15.6	13.8	1.84	17.1	16.8	0.37
Antonio McDyess	56	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.26	-21	-9	-12	14.6	14.2	0.42	17.0	16.8	0.21
Jason Kidd	55	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.58	-32	2	-34	14.4	14.4	0.03	16.9	16.8	0.15
Kevin Johnson	53	51	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.56	-34	4	-38	14.7	14.1	0.56	16.2	17.8	-1.62
Clifford Robinson	49	49	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.44	-30	0	-30	15.2	13.6	1.63	16.1	17.7	-1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 114, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
ATL 116, PHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.19,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
UTA 103, MEM 74	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%