NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	114		Excitement	2.1 [1250]		MVP	Steve Nash (DAL): +6.1%
Chicago Bulls	87		Comeback	1.0 [1159]		LVP	Jay Williams (CHI): -7.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	0.00	0.05	6	92%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Walt Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	8	81%	0.05	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	0.00	0.06	14	67%	0.04	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Nick Van Exel	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Adrian Griffin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	7	57%	0.02	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	15	38%	0.00	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Avery Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	62%	0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	5	30%	-0.00	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	57%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Eduardo Najera	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.04	9	62%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.12	0.00	0.08	14	75%	0.06	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalibor Bagaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lonny Baxter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	4	0%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	-0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.11	0.00	-0.08	15	31%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	11	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.15	0.00	-0.09	8	15%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	25%	0.00
Jay Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.14	0.00	-0.06	9	32%	-0.06	3	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.5	31.4	17.3	26.4	2.5	24.3	126.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +24.9%

DAL +6.4%

DAL +3.4%

DAL +10.2%

DAL +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	CHI	NBA	DAL	CHI	NBA
this game	14.6	14.8	15.5	116.3	88.8	101.6
season	15.1	15.0		108.6	98.3
opponent	15.1	15.3		103.3	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.4	15.1	12.7	16.2	14.6
CHI	15.6	14.3	16.1	13.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Bradley	63	64	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.33	26	1	25	14.0	15.7	-1.69	15.2	14.1	1.11
Michael Finley	52	53	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.37	26	1	25	13.9	15.4	-1.45	15.8	13.6	2.19
Steve Nash	37	37	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.43	25	2	23	12.6	15.8	-3.18	17.4	13.2	4.25
Dirk Nowitzki	47	49	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.46	26	1	25	13.4	15.7	-2.34	17.0	12.6	4.39
Walt Williams	60	60	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	20	-13	15.5	13.2	2.23	13.1	17.4	-4.22
Adrian Griffin	72	71	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.26	18	9	9	14.4	15.3	-0.91	15.1	14.0	1.14
Eduardo Najera	59	58	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	26	-25	15.9	12.6	3.26	13.3	16.9	-3.53
Nick Van Exel	19	20	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.04	8	19	-11	15.7	14.3	1.34	13.6	15.1	-1.49
Raja Bell	39	37	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	23	-19	15.1	14.3	0.83	14.1	15.2	-1.13
Avery Johnson	42	41	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.18	-6	33	-39	15.9	13.7	2.20	13.0	16.1	-3.11

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dalibor Bagaric	17	17	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-35	43	12.3	15.3	-3.01	18.5	13.8	4.68
Fred Hoiberg	32	32	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.11	3	-30	33	13.6	15.4	-1.82	16.2	13.8	2.31
Jamal Crawford	29	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	-21	15	14.1	15.1	-0.92	16.8	13.7	3.11
Lonny Baxter	39	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.08	-7	-20	13	13.6	15.6	-1.94	14.7	14.6	0.09
Donyell Marshall	39	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.11	-9	-18	9	16.1	13.9	2.10	14.4	14.7	-0.36
Eddie Robinson	36	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.08	-8	-19	11	13.1	15.7	-2.60	14.8	14.5	0.26
Marcus Fizer	37	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-21	15	13.4	15.6	-2.17	16.5	13.4	3.07
Eddy Curry	41	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.31	-19	-8	-11	16.6	13.5	3.18	12.9	15.8	-2.92
Tyson Chandler	23	24	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.30	-21	-6	-15	15.3	14.6	0.73	12.1	15.4	-3.34
Trenton Hassell	54	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.27	-20	-7	-13	15.9	13.5	2.42	14.3	15.0	-0.65
Jay Williams	69	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.23	-21	-6	-15	15.1	14.1	0.92	13.7	16.8	-3.11
Jalen Rose	74	73	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.35	-29	2	-31	15.3	13.1	2.20	14.1	16.2	-2.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 111, SEA 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.26,0.27,0.2,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%
NYK 105, PHX 75	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
DET 118, BOS 66	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%