NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	118		Excitement	2.1 [1254]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): +13.7%
Boston Celtics	66		Comeback	1.0 [554]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -16.1%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.00	-0.00	14	77%	0.15	2	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	17	64%	0.05	0	0.00	11	82%	-0.01
Michael Curry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	6	76%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Hubert Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pepe Sanchez	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	6	69%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	5	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	65%	-0.00	1	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Jon Barry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.04	6	67%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	7	21%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	5	30%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Williams	0,0,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	5	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
J.R. Bremer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Bruno Sundov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.17	0.00	-0.17	5	0%	0.00	3	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	7	29%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	36%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	0.04	18	56%	-0.00	4	-0.06	5	80%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.25	0.00	-0.09	15	17%	-0.13	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.7	31.2	15.3	25.7	2.6	24.0	127.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +31.1%

DET +4.5%

DET +2.9%

DET +5.9%

DET +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	BOS	NBA	DET	BOS	NBA
this game	16.2	15.6	15.5	131.1	72.5	101.6
season	16.8	15.6		101.7	99.3
opponent	15.5	15.6		99.9	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.0	16.3	16.7	15.0	16.2
BOS	17.3	14.3	15.3	15.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	63	63	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.65	38	14	24	16.7	15.1	1.64	15.9	14.9	1.03
Mehmet Okur	52	53	0.35	0.15	0.20	-1.00	46	6	40	16.1	16.4	-0.30	15.4	15.9	-0.54
Richard Hamilton	56	57	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.78	38	14	24	17.1	14.8	2.34	16.2	14.6	1.53
Corliss Williamson	31	33	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.78	37	15	22	13.2	17.8	-4.57	15.6	15.6	0.00
Chauncey Billups	46	46	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.26	19	33	-14	18.3	14.1	4.17	16.2	15.0	1.28
Chucky Atkins	44	45	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.76	33	19	14	14.1	18.3	-4.17	15.0	16.2	-1.28
Michael Curry	41	41	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.01	7	45	-38	18.9	14.0	4.97	15.7	15.5	0.23
Clifford Robinson	31	33	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	48	-44	16.9	15.8	1.09	16.1	15.3	0.81
Jon Barry	34	34	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.25	14	38	-24	14.8	17.1	-2.34	14.6	16.2	-1.53
Tayshaun Prince	20	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.41	14	38	-24	14.9	16.6	-1.70	15.7	15.6	0.12
Hubert Davis	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.23	8	44	-36	15.2	16.5	-1.25	15.3	15.7	-0.38
Pepe Sanchez	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	50	-48	14.8	16.5	-1.70	13.5	15.9	-2.41

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruno Sundov	17	18	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.23	-8	-44	36	15.3	15.7	-0.38	15.2	16.5	-1.25
Kedrick Brown	36	37	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.23	-8	-44	36	15.5	15.7	-0.17	16.5	16.0	0.45
Vin Baker	39	38	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.34	-14	-38	24	15.9	15.4	0.51	16.3	16.2	0.12
Shammond Williams	45	45	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.25	-11	-41	30	16.0	15.2	0.83	16.2	16.2	0.04
Grant Long	26	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.54	-22	-30	8	16.4	15.3	1.15	14.3	17.0	-2.69
Tony Battie	16	17	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.08	-10	-42	32	17.6	15.2	2.38	18.2	15.8	2.48
Walter McCarty	46	44	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	1.10	-45	-7	-38	14.6	16.6	-1.97	14.7	17.6	-2.88
J.R. Bremer	52	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.77	-34	-18	-16	15.2	16.2	-0.96	16.0	16.5	-0.49
Tony Delk	29	26	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.75	-36	-16	-20	15.3	15.8	-0.48	13.9	17.2	-3.29
Eric Williams	38	37	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.22	-19	-33	14	14.9	16.1	-1.26	17.8	15.1	2.70
Paul Pierce	56	56	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.28	-23	-29	6	15.8	15.3	0.56	17.5	14.1	3.34
Antoine Walker	55	53	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.34	-30	-22	-8	15.9	15.1	0.82	16.7	15.5	1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 114, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
NYK 105, PHX 75	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
BOS 108, SAC 63	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%