NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	111		Excitement	2.4 [1265]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +11.0%
Seattle SuperSonics	91		Comeback	1.0 [1254]		LVP	Kevin Durant (SEA): -8.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.14	0.00	0.03	13	72%	0.12	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.16	0.00	0.07	12	70%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.00	-0.02	10	65%	0.09	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	18	55%	0.05	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Coby Karl	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	50%	0.00	2	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	11	48%	0.01	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	9	48%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jordan Farmar	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	14	43%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	0.00	0.05	16	64%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	8	25%	-0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	9	65%	0.01	4	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	9	42%	-0.00	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	7	47%	-0.03	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	13	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	17	34%	-0.04	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	13	44%	-0.03	4	-0.05	8	87%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	0.7	30.0	13.8	28.2	1.6	26.0	123.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +38.7%

LAL +3.0%

LAL +3.5%

LAL +4.3%

LAL +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SEA	NBA	LAL	SEA	NBA
this game	15.1	14.4	15.4	113.3	93.8	105.7
season	14.6	14.5		110.6	99.1
opponent	15.0	15.2		107.9	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.1	14.1	15.8	16.7	15.1
SEA	13.0	14.7	14.8	15.3	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	79	79	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.22	23	-3	26	14.6	17.1	-2.46	14.7	13.2	1.46
Luke Walton	81	81	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.14	20	0	20	15.3	14.3	1.00	14.6	13.6	0.94
Pau Gasol	74	72	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.17	19	1	18	14.7	16.5	-1.77	14.7	13.6	1.04
Kobe Bryant	55	54	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.38	26	-6	32	13.7	17.0	-3.30	14.9	13.7	1.20
Derek Fisher	49	48	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.23	19	1	18	14.2	16.0	-1.76	15.0	13.8	1.25
Jordan Farmar	49	49	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	19	-18	16.0	14.2	1.76	13.8	15.0	-1.25
Sasha Vujacic	52	51	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.29	-4	24	-28	16.3	13.7	2.61	13.6	15.3	-1.66
Ronny Turiaf	33	33	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	18	-16	16.7	14.3	2.33	13.2	15.0	-1.82
DJ Mbenga	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.12	-4	24	-28	16.7	14.9	1.76	14.1	14.5	-0.38
Coby Karl	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	22	-24	15.5	15.1	0.40	14.7	14.4	0.27

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adrian Griffin	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-22	24	14.7	14.4	0.27	15.5	15.1	0.40
Francisco Elson	36	34	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.14	3	-23	26	13.4	15.0	-1.54	16.1	14.6	1.43
Mickael Gelabale	60	63	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.37	10	-30	40	14.6	14.1	0.58	16.0	13.6	2.41
Luke Ridnour	42	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	-19	18	14.5	14.4	0.11	16.1	14.4	1.73
Ira Newble	25	23	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	-12	4	13.8	14.6	-0.88	16.3	14.7	1.60
Johan Petro	57	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.13	-14	-6	-8	14.6	14.1	0.49	14.8	15.7	-0.92
Earl Watson	55	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.17	-19	-1	-18	14.4	14.5	-0.11	14.4	16.1	-1.73
Jeff Green	69	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.13	-18	-2	-16	15.1	12.6	2.49	14.6	16.5	-1.98
Nick Collison	68	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.17	-21	1	-22	14.2	15.0	-0.84	14.6	16.4	-1.80
Kevin Durant	67	69	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.46	-34	14	-48	14.3	14.7	-0.37	14.9	15.7	-0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.26,0.27,0.2,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 114, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%
NYK 105, PHX 75	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
GSW 103, VAN 93	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%