NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	121		Excitement	7.8 [307]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +34.9%
LA Clippers	116		Comeback	5.7 [199]		LVP	Lou Williams (LAC): -19.5%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.35	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.15,0.35	0.15	0.20	0.01	31	63%	0.46	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.01
E'Twaun Moore	0.17	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.02	0.15	-0.00	8	53%	0.18	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	10	65%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	6	64%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	12	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darius Miller	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	7	47%	0.08	1	-0.06	5	100%	0.08
Cheick Diallo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.18	0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.06	-0.16	-0.03	22	40%	-0.07	2	-0.11	3	100%	0.03

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.38,0.38,0.25	0.25	0.15	0.09	-0.01	17	65%	0.25	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.00	0.03	24	54%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sindarius Thornwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	3	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sean Kilpatrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Dekker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	9	48%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Milos Teodosic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	50%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	14	39%	-0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,0.08,-0.01,-0.2	-0.20	-0.03	-0.17	-0.01	20	51%	0.08	5	-0.27	13	54%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.7	28.3	16.6	26.3	2.0	34.1	134.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +25.6%

NOP +18.8%

LAC -10.8%

NOP +13.7%

NOP +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	LAC	NBA	NOP	LAC	NBA
this game	13.1	13.3	14.7	111.0	106.4	107.5
season	13.6	14.2		108.0	109.2
opponent	14.6	14.6		109.0	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	11.2	12.0	15.1	14.4	13.1
LAC	13.3	15.7	14.3	10.4	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
E'Twaun Moore	79	82	0.70	-0.20	0.89	-0.01	24	-19	43	12.0	16.0	-3.99	14.0	11.2	2.83
Jrue Holiday	83	84	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.16	17	-12	29	12.3	15.8	-3.54	13.7	11.9	1.81
Emeka Okafor	48	47	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.09	22	-17	39	12.6	13.5	-0.87	15.0	12.1	2.89
Anthony Davis	85	87	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.27	3	2	1	12.8	14.0	-1.19	13.0	14.7	-1.77
Rajon Rondo	66	65	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.03	9	-4	13	13.6	12.3	1.33	13.6	12.9	0.75
Darius Miller	58	57	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.58	-16	21	-37	13.9	12.2	1.79	12.0	14.7	-2.71
Ian Clark	58	58	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.65	-19	24	-43	14.0	12.1	1.83	12.1	14.6	-2.51
Cheick Diallo	12	11	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.04	-5	10	-15	13.6	13.1	0.53	15.9	13.0	2.89
Nikola Mirotic	56	54	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.19	-10	15	-25	14.2	11.9	2.34	12.5	14.1	-1.65

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sindarius Thornwell	63	63	0.32	-0.82	1.13	0.11	7	-12	19	12.7	14.2	-1.49	13.8	12.2	1.54
Lou Williams	78	77	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.64	27	-32	59	12.5	15.4	-2.90	14.2	10.6	3.56
Sam Dekker	7	7	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-6	7	17.1	13.0	4.09	12.6	13.1	-0.58
Montrezl Harrell	71	70	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.45	16	-21	37	12.4	14.9	-2.51	13.9	11.6	2.33
Sean Kilpatrick	8	8	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-3	1	17.5	13.0	4.52	11.5	13.2	-1.74
Wesley Johnson	17	18	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.13	-11	6	-17	13.8	13.2	0.61	9.3	13.9	-4.52
Austin Rivers	89	91	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.34	-5	0	-5	13.4	12.7	0.75	13.1	13.1	0.07
DeAndre Jordan	63	62	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.08	-21	16	-37	14.7	11.5	3.21	12.2	14.3	-2.16
Tobias Harris	86	86	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.26	-11	6	-17	13.2	13.7	-0.54	13.3	12.3	1.02
Milos Teodosic	63	63	-1.18	0.68	-1.85	-0.41	-26	21	-47	13.5	13.1	0.35	12.2	14.3	-2.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.33,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.26,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.85,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 109, WAS 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.38,0.36,0.65,0.73,0	89.9%
LAL 74, SAS 73	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.36,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.31,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.23,0.41,0.24,0.22,0.38,0.43,0.76,0.58,0	88.3%
ATL 114, BKN 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.38,0.64,0.68,0.27,0	88.2%