inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 109 Excitement9.6 [62] MVPTim Hardaway (MIA): +72.1%
Washington Wizards 108 Comeback7.4 [108] LVPJamal Mashburn (MIA): -24.2%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Hardaway0.720,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,0.72-0.010.71-0.022253%0.803-0.08580%-0.00
Ike Austin0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.150.050.09-0.011364%0.202-0.052100%0.05
Dan Majerle0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.01-0.014100%0.111-0.0300%0.00
Terry Mills0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.050.00744%0.0300.00250%-0.01
P.J. Brown0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.020.00759%0.041-0.03367%-0.00
Mark Strickland0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.010.003100%0.072-0.0600%0.00
Keith Askins-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.010.00150%-0.021-0.03475%-0.00
Eric Murdock-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.0000%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Voshon Lenard-0.050,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.02-0.08-0.00867%0.052-0.112100%0.01
Jamal Mashburn-0.240,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.24-0.00-0.27-0.031168%0.034-0.27683%0.02

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.190.190.050.14-0.011556%0.1900.00475%-0.01
Chris Webber0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.09,0.090.090.070.030.012654%0.0900.00475%-0.02
Darvin Ham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Tracy Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.05-0.00744%0.041-0.02250%-0.01
Lorenzo Williams0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.000.01480%0.042-0.0520%-0.02
Harvey Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.01450%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Rod Strickland0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.03-0.03-0.070.03-0.011848%0.253-0.27667%0.02
Chris Whitney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.01220%-0.021-0.021100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game37.82.443.015.528.67.640.0174.9
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +63.7%
MIA +27.5%
WAS -22.5%
WAS -23.4%
MIA +4.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAWASNBAMIAWASNBA
this game15.714.615.6114.7113.7102.5
season15.815.1104.7102.8
opponent15.616.2102.299.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA18.013.115.217.015.7
WAS14.714.014.815.014.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dan Majerle34340.70-0.200.900.85-56-1114.716.2-1.4613.315.4-2.15
Ike Austin74730.64-0.140.780.437-61314.918.3-3.3514.913.61.31
Voshon Lenard62610.63-0.130.770.379-81715.316.3-0.9615.613.02.60
Jamal Mashburn84830.51-0.010.510.423-2515.814.51.3815.012.12.93
Tim Hardaway78770.50-0.000.510.394-3716.014.21.7514.714.60.11
Keith Askins20210.060.44-0.380.0310114.416.0-1.5512.715.2-2.54
Eric Murdock1718-0.000.50-0.510.08-34-714.216.0-1.7514.614.7-0.11
P.J. Brown4447-0.100.60-0.71-0.1310115.615.7-0.1515.314.01.21
Mark Strickland3131-0.190.69-0.870.05-89-1716.415.31.1113.215.4-2.20
Terry Mills3130-0.250.75-1.00-0.13-45-918.914.14.7514.514.7-0.21

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Harvey Grant31300.17-0.670.85-0.037-81514.414.8-0.4315.915.60.38
Chris Whitney20210.15-0.650.79-0.129-101913.015.1-2.0214.616.0-1.35
Darvin Ham3533-0.01-0.490.48-0.072-3514.015.0-0.9712.717.3-4.56
Tracy Murray4242-0.15-0.350.19-0.4811-122313.315.7-2.3915.615.7-0.06
Lorenzo Williams3030-0.38-0.12-0.250.04-1413-2716.114.02.1318.114.53.59
Chris Webber9192-0.510.01-0.51-0.48-10-115.06.58.5015.618.3-2.75
Calbert Cheaney7676-0.610.11-0.72-0.43-65-1114.814.00.8015.317.3-2.05
Rod Strickland7574-0.650.15-0.79-0.35-109-1915.113.02.0216.014.61.35


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.38,0.36,0.65,0.73,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 74, SAS 730.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.36,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.31,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.23,0.41,0.24,0.22,0.38,0.43,0.76,0.58,093.2%
BOS 89, ATL 850.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.23,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.73,091.8%
SAC 114, DEN 1100.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.32,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.58,091.7%