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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 114 Excitement8.3 [222] MVPWillie Cauley-Stein (SAC): +19.0%
Denver Nuggets 110 Comeback2.0 [475] LVPJaKarr Sampson (DEN): -16.7%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Willie Cauley-Stein0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.190.050.13-0.01762%0.1900.002100%0.01
Omri Casspi0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.070.080.00678%0.182-0.04667%0.01
DeMarcus Cousins0.110,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.07,-0.04,0.110.18-0.060.012465%0.283-0.181275%0.08
Kosta Koufos0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.00475%0.0500.0000%0.00
Ben McLemore0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.000.01-0.03487%0.073-0.0300%0.00
Marco Belinelli0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.02-0.021237%0.0100.0000%0.00
Quincy Acy-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Darren Collison-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.00750%-0.012-0.04475%-0.04
Rudy Gay-0.080,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.080.04-0.12-0.001162%0.032-0.11475%-0.00
Rajon Rondo-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.00-0.00633%-0.034-0.0800%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.110.110.030.070.00865%0.152-0.044100%0.02
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.070.070.11-0.030.02887%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Kenneth Faried0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.000.01965%0.0600.00250%-0.01
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.010.021449%0.0100.00786%-0.04
Emmanuel Mudiay0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.011342%0.0100.0000%0.00
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.01-0.06-0.001843%-0.0400.00667%-0.03
Joffrey Lauvergne0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.001145%0.032-0.0700%0.00
Gary Harris0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.070.00-0.02922%-0.0500.0000%0.00
D.J. Augustin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.23,0.3,0.2,0.2,-0.09-0.09-0.03-0.06-0.00759%0.254-0.333100%0.03
JaKarr Sampson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.11-0.06-0.0030%-0.083-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.62.430.415.323.42.042.8141.0
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC +30.5%
SAC +4.1%
SAC +10.2%
SAC +8.3%
DEN -3.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACDENNBASACDENNBA
this game13.014.214.9107.5103.8105.1
season13.914.9104.8104.3
opponent14.914.6107.8107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC11.811.213.915.513.0
DEN13.015.016.112.814.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeMarcus Cousins79810.56-0.060.620.2411-71812.813.5-0.6514.114.4-0.30
Rajon Rondo70720.56-0.060.620.386-2812.314.3-1.9314.014.5-0.49
Willie Cauley-Stein52520.53-0.030.550.5013-212.813.1-0.3014.314.10.20
Darren Collison69690.50-0.000.510.307-31013.312.41.0014.413.70.76
Rudy Gay81810.420.080.340.3040413.013.1-0.1613.914.9-0.98
Omri Casspi50500.060.44-0.37-0.0231213.412.70.6814.513.90.59
Ben McLemore29290.000.50-0.500.03-15-612.813.1-0.3314.114.2-0.09
Quincy Acy29290.000.50-0.500.03-15-612.813.1-0.3314.114.2-0.09
Kosta Koufos2725-0.060.56-0.620.14-711-1813.512.80.6514.414.10.30
Marco Belinelli4442-0.080.58-0.660.01-37-1013.712.51.1314.014.2-0.20

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joffrey Lauvergne49470.01-0.510.51-0.083-71015.113.41.7713.412.70.69
JaKarr Sampson3130-0.07-0.430.37-0.01-2-2014.014.2-0.2413.712.71.02
Darrell Arthur5353-0.16-0.340.18-0.253-71014.014.3-0.3013.912.11.85
Kenneth Faried5051-0.21-0.290.08-0.06-51-614.014.3-0.2512.113.8-1.70
Gary Harris5657-0.21-0.290.07-0.01-73-1014.214.2-0.0211.914.3-2.43
D.J. Augustin4647-0.23-0.270.05-0.323-71013.814.5-0.7214.112.21.91
Will Barton5756-0.23-0.270.04-0.416-101614.413.90.4314.111.82.31
Emmanuel Mudiay6059-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.07-73-1014.513.80.7212.214.1-1.91
Nikola Jokic4547-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.31-51-613.115.0-1.8813.312.80.54
Danilo Gallinari8383-0.670.17-0.85-0.41-95-1414.313.70.6112.315.4-3.05


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.32,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.58,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 99, DET 950.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.17,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.42,092.2%
MIA 109, WAS 1080.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.38,0.36,0.65,0.73,091.7%
POR 90, UTA 860.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.33,0.25,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.23,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.33,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.27,091.6%