NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	90		Excitement	7.2 [384]		MVP	Steven Smith (POR): +31.7%
Utah Jazz	86		Comeback	2.0 [431]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): -23.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0.32	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.32	0.03	0.27	-0.01	9	64%	0.34	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.14
Greg Anthony	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12	0.01	0.11	-0.00	4	67%	0.15	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.03
Brian Grant	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.05	0.00	9	73%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Stacey Augmon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.00	8	62%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	7	55%	-0.04	1	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	10	28%	-0.16	0	0.00	5	60%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.25,-0.23	-0.09	-0.15	-0.01	13	41%	-0.18	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	10	69%	0.14	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.11
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	18	60%	0.04	2	-0.05	12	83%	0.03
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	13	49%	-0.08	0	0.00	11	73%	-0.07
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	3	25%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Olden Polynice	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.02	0.00	4	0%	-0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.03	-0.17	0.00	0	67%	-0.05	1	-0.15	6	67%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.8	33.1	19.7	28.4	2.7	45.5	158.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +19.8%

POR +0.2%

UTA -3.2%

POR +21.9%

POR +11.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	UTA	NBA	POR	UTA	NBA
this game	17.4	16.3	15.2	104.7	101.2	101.7
season	15.9	16.3		105.9	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.7		100.6	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.0	17.2	20.0	16.3	17.4
UTA	16.7	17.1	14.9	16.5	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	51	52	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.34	15	-11	26	16.0	19.3	-3.29	17.5	14.5	3.05
Steven Smith	59	58	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.48	6	-2	8	18.1	15.7	2.36	15.9	17.3	-1.43
Brian Grant	58	59	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.34	6	-2	8	17.7	16.7	0.91	15.7	17.7	-1.93
Scottie Pippen	65	64	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.41	1	3	-2	16.9	18.8	-1.92	15.1	20.1	-5.02
Damon Stoudamire	61	60	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.13	9	-5	14	16.5	19.4	-2.88	15.7	17.8	-2.16
Greg Anthony	28	27	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.24	-4	8	-12	17.3	17.4	-0.06	17.0	16.0	1.00
Bonzi Wells	18	18	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.05	1	3	-2	18.7	17.0	1.72	19.5	15.5	4.04
Arvydas Sabonis	36	33	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	6	-8	19.3	16.0	3.35	16.6	16.1	0.52
Stacey Augmon	37	37	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.00	-3	7	-10	16.3	18.2	-1.91	16.5	16.1	0.39
Jermaine O'Neal	17	17	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.04	-9	13	-22	19.5	16.8	2.63	17.6	16.0	1.66

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Armen Gilliam	18	18	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.08	1	-5	6	18.2	15.8	2.35	16.4	17.6	-1.23
Adam Keefe	8	8	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.07	4	-8	12	11.1	16.9	-5.73	17.1	17.4	-0.26
Jacque Vaughn	12	11	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-5	6	19.2	15.8	3.41	15.7	17.6	-1.87
Quincy Lewis	9	8	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	2	-8	20.9	15.8	5.11	16.7	17.4	-0.67
Greg Ostertag	41	42	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.35	6	-10	16	16.5	16.2	0.28	18.9	15.9	2.93
Olden Polynice	42	41	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.01	-11	7	-18	16.6	16.0	0.64	17.1	17.6	-0.50
Jeff Hornacek	39	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-10	6	-16	16.7	16.0	0.64	16.1	18.4	-2.35
Howard Eisley	43	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-2	0	16.6	16.0	0.58	16.9	17.9	-0.94
Bryon Russell	76	78	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.43	2	-6	8	15.8	20.9	-5.11	17.4	16.7	0.67
John Stockton	70	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.41	0	-4	4	15.8	18.9	-3.18	17.9	14.6	3.25
Karl Malone	67	68	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.47	-5	1	-6	15.8	18.2	-2.35	17.6	16.4	1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.33,0.25,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.23,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.33,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 84, HOU 79	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.2,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.16,0.28,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.24,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.53,0.38,0.45,0.57,0.17,0	92.2%
SAS 87, BOS 86	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.29,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.2,0.23,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.63,0.68,0.16,0	91.9%
SAC 114, DEN 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.32,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.58,0	91.6%