NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	114		Excitement	9.0 [135]		MVP	Al Horford (ATL): +33.7%
Brooklyn Nets	111		Comeback	2.8 [437]		LVP	Jeff Teague (ATL): -28.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0.34	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.34	0.07	0.25	-0.02	20	59%	0.38	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Mike Scott	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.00	-0.01	14	59%	0.10	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	6	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	36%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Elton Brand	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0.01	6	64%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
DeMarre Carroll	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.09	0.08	-0.16	0.01	13	68%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.24,-0.12,-0.29	-0.07	-0.16	0.05	11	45%	-0.07	4	-0.21	11	64%	-0.12

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.00	15	70%	0.16	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Deron Williams	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	0.08	0.00	10	45%	0.11	5	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02
Markel Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.16	-0.16	0.04	-0.19	0.00	10	57%	-0.14	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	0.02	-0.16	0.02	13	58%	-0.01	2	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	0.10	-0.26	0.02	17	59%	-0.17	1	-0.02	10	100%	0.07
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.03,-0.22	-0.22	0.03	-0.25	0.01	10	50%	-0.22	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.8	27.2	16.3	27.9	1.8	36.1	134.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +101.2%

BKN -20.7%

BKN -37.2%

ATL +6.9%

BKN -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BKN	NBA	ATL	BKN	NBA
this game	14.0	15.1	15.1	115.2	112.1	104.2
season	14.9	15.3		106.7	102.9
opponent	15.3	15.4		105.8	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.8	12.5	15.0	14.6	14.0
BKN	15.0	15.2	14.3	16.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	67	68	1.11	-0.61	1.73	0.38	25	-22	47	13.7	14.6	-0.94	15.6	14.0	1.65
Al Horford	68	69	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.47	12	-9	21	13.3	15.3	-1.98	15.7	13.7	2.01
DeMarre Carroll	77	78	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.35	4	-1	5	13.7	14.8	-1.05	15.0	15.7	-0.68
Jeff Teague	68	68	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.25	6	-3	9	13.8	14.4	-0.58	15.7	13.9	1.83
Kent Bazemore	36	34	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.41	0	3	-3	14.5	13.7	0.85	14.0	15.7	-1.68
Elton Brand	15	15	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.14	-4	7	-11	17.3	13.4	3.98	13.8	15.4	-1.57
Mike Muscala	51	49	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.21	4	-1	5	13.3	14.7	-1.41	15.6	14.7	0.95
Mike Scott	63	64	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.10	-8	11	-19	14.6	12.8	1.77	14.6	16.1	-1.43
Dennis Schroder	34	33	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.02	-9	12	-21	14.4	13.7	0.73	14.4	15.5	-1.11
Shelvin Mack	16	17	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.16	-15	18	-33	14.0	14.0	0.05	14.3	15.3	-1.01

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	72	73	0.29	-0.79	1.08	0.09	7	-10	17	15.5	14.2	1.25	13.9	14.1	-0.16
Jarrett Jack	41	43	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.22	9	-12	21	15.4	15.0	0.40	14.1	13.8	0.32
Mason Plumlee	18	19	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	2	-7	13.7	15.4	-1.72	13.8	14.0	-0.21
Earl Clark	10	10	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	1	-5	15.6	15.1	0.52	17.2	13.6	3.60
Brook Lopez	81	80	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.42	2	-5	7	15.4	13.7	1.72	14.0	13.8	0.21
Deron Williams	74	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-3	3	15.1	15.4	-0.31	14.1	13.6	0.47
Markel Brown	49	47	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.23	-7	4	-11	15.5	14.8	0.71	14.0	14.0	-0.00
Joe Johnson	77	78	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.22	-12	9	-21	15.3	14.6	0.69	13.6	15.5	-1.92
Bojan Bogdanovic	73	72	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.68	-5	2	-7	14.3	17.5	-3.26	13.8	14.5	-0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.38,0.64,0.68,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 85, HOU 78	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.24,0.39,0.45,0.61,0.45,0.09,0	91.9%
SAS 126, IND 121	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.42,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.11,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.29,0.4,0.45,0.54,0.57,0.28,0	91.9%
LAC 121, SAC 115	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.38,0.36,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.18,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.45,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.27,0.26,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.27,0	91.1%