NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	121		Excitement	8.2 [240]		MVP	Bogdan Bogdanovic (SAC): +30.2%
Sacramento Kings	115		Comeback	1.9 [584]		LVP	De'Aaron Fox (SAC): -11.7%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Montrezl Harrell	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.17	0.09	-0.01	12	76%	0.31	2	-0.04	9	33%	-0.08
Blake Griffin	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,0.1,0.1	-0.03	0.12	-0.00	14	53%	0.20	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.04
Wesley Johnson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	7	81%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	4	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Reed	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lou Williams	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.01	0.08	-0.06	0.01	24	57%	0.18	3	-0.17	5	100%	0.03
Sam Dekker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Tyrone Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Milos Teodosic	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	9	56%	0.07	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Jawun Evans	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	4	40%	0.00	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.18	0.15	0.02	11	85%	0.32	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	8	75%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.02	0.02	0.10	-0.09	-0.00	8	87%	0.16	1	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.08	-0.02	13	54%	0.04	2	-0.07	13	77%	-0.11
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	13	48%	0.01	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Skal Labissiere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	5	57%	0.01	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.01,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.11	-0.01	15	50%	0.02	2	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	10	36%	-0.04	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	1.7	33.5	15.3	28.1	1.8	33.2	141.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +36.0%

LAC +3.6%

LAC +3.1%

LAC +6.5%

LAC +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAC	NBA	LAC	SAC	NBA
this game	13.5	13.6	14.7	114.2	107.5	107.5
season	14.2	15.4		109.2	102.9
opponent	14.7	14.6		110.1	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.2	13.1	13.2	13.4	13.5
SAC	15.2	14.0	12.5	12.8	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jawun Evans	48	50	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.05	14	-8	22	13.3	13.6	-0.35	14.4	12.8	1.58
Wesley Johnson	54	55	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	-6	18	12.9	14.0	-1.06	14.0	13.1	0.87
Montrezl Harrell	61	62	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.41	-2	8	-10	12.7	14.5	-1.86	13.3	13.9	-0.57
Sam Dekker	33	33	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	-3	12	12.8	13.8	-0.94	15.2	12.9	2.27
Lou Williams	76	77	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.33	0	6	-6	13.8	12.6	1.20	13.1	14.9	-1.84
Tyrone Wallace	82	82	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.30	0	6	-6	13.5	13.4	0.11	13.8	12.9	0.86
DeAndre Jordan	22	22	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.13	13	-7	20	14.6	13.2	1.48	15.5	13.1	2.42
Blake Griffin	73	74	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.24	-3	9	-12	13.8	12.8	0.94	12.9	15.2	-2.27
Milos Teodosic	58	57	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.27	-8	14	-22	13.6	13.3	0.35	12.8	14.4	-1.58
Willie Reed	23	23	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	11	-16	14.4	13.2	1.24	12.4	13.9	-1.51

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Skal Labissiere	46	46	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.02	5	-11	16	14.4	12.9	1.50	13.0	13.8	-0.74
George Hill	76	76	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.25	7	-13	20	13.7	13.4	0.32	14.4	11.0	3.43
Willie Cauley-Stein	53	52	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-4	2	12.7	14.4	-1.71	14.1	12.9	1.17
Garrett Temple	38	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	2	-10	13.4	13.7	-0.29	13.6	13.4	0.18
Bogdan Bogdanovic	69	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-8	10	13.7	13.4	0.29	13.2	13.9	-0.69
Buddy Hield	72	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-2	-2	13.7	13.4	0.22	12.8	14.7	-1.91
Kosta Koufos	54	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-2	-2	14.4	12.7	1.71	12.9	14.1	-1.21
Zach Randolph	59	59	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.29	-9	3	-12	13.3	14.0	-0.72	14.0	12.8	1.25
De'Aaron Fox	68	67	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.17	-17	11	-28	13.1	14.4	-1.31	13.0	14.2	-1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.38,0.36,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.18,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.45,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.27,0.26,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 85, HOU 78	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.24,0.39,0.45,0.61,0.45,0.09,0	91.4%
ATL 114, BKN 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.38,0.64,0.68,0.27,0	91.1%
TOR 102, ATL 101	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.16,0.26,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.37,0.38,0.46,0.43,0.58,0	90.8%