NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	98		Excitement	7.3 [406]		MVP	Victor Oladipo (IND): +18.4%
Washington Wizards	95		Comeback	1.0 [596]		LVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): -47.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Oladipo	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.18	0.18	0.00	0.01	20	66%	0.25	1	-0.07	10	90%	0.02
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.06	0.00	12	74%	0.22	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Cory Joseph	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	12	62%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Joe Young	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Glenn Robinson III	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
TJ Leaf	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.03	-0.03	6	50%	0.05	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Myles Turner	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	12	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Lance Stephenson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2	-0.14	-0.06	-0.00	5	0%	-0.12	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.07	-0.01	12	61%	0.17	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.02	0.02	7	86%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.05	0.00	6	44%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	87%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	10	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	-0.00	8	62%	0.08	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	57%	0.03	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03
Bradley Beal	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.26,-0.28,-0.47	-0.47	-0.16	-0.30	0.00	27	37%	-0.24	5	-0.23	5	80%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.0	30.0	13.5	21.4	1.7	36.2	130.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +27.1%

IND +3.7%

IND +0.9%

IND +13.4%

IND +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	WAS	NBA	IND	WAS	NBA
this game	15.4	15.4	14.7	105.4	101.1	107.5
season	14.8	14.8		108.3	108.2
opponent	14.7	15.0		107.9	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.9	15.6	15.8	17.2	15.4
WAS	17.7	16.5	15.5	12.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myles Turner	76	75	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.22	20	-17	37	14.7	18.3	-3.57	15.6	14.6	1.06
Victor Oladipo	77	77	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.20	19	-16	35	15.1	16.5	-1.36	15.9	13.4	2.53
Cory Joseph	73	73	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.24	15	-12	27	15.0	16.9	-1.94	15.7	14.6	1.10
Thaddeus Young	64	65	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.35	2	1	1	15.0	16.2	-1.16	15.3	15.6	-0.28
Bojan Bogdanovic	75	75	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.40	0	3	-3	15.2	16.0	-0.77	15.4	15.6	-0.19
Glenn Robinson III	20	21	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	6	-9	15.9	15.2	0.73	15.3	15.5	-0.18
TJ Leaf	9	9	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	6	-9	16.0	15.3	0.69	16.4	15.3	1.13
Domantas Sabonis	33	35	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.14	-7	10	-17	16.8	14.6	2.28	15.2	15.6	-0.40
Joe Young	20	22	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.15	-12	15	-27	16.9	15.0	1.94	14.3	15.8	-1.45
Lance Stephenson	18	18	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.18	-16	19	-35	17.4	14.9	2.50	13.6	15.9	-2.31

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Scott	47	44	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.41	12	-15	27	13.7	17.2	-3.53	15.7	15.0	0.71
Tim Frazier	35	32	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-5	7	15.2	15.6	-0.36	15.7	15.2	0.52
Ian Mahinmi	50	47	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.39	11	-14	25	13.6	17.5	-3.99	15.9	14.9	0.96
Jodie Meeks	54	51	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.36	5	-8	13	14.0	17.3	-3.35	15.6	15.1	0.51
Tomas Satoransky	41	43	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.01	-8	5	-13	17.0	14.2	2.88	15.0	15.7	-0.74
Marcin Gortat	40	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	5	-13	17.3	14.0	3.35	15.1	15.6	-0.51
Otto Porter Jr.	69	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-5	7	15.5	15.2	0.31	15.3	15.7	-0.46
Markieff Morris	51	53	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	0.02	-21	18	-39	17.4	13.1	4.26	14.9	16.0	-1.18
Bradley Beal	83	82	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.35	-10	7	-17	15.6	14.3	1.31	15.4	15.2	0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.34,0.39,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.18,0.36,0.21,0.11,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 109, LAC 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.27,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.12,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.17,0.25,0.15,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.28,0.33,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.27,0.38,0.07,0.03,0.09,0	93.4%
MIN 115, OKC 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.35,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.13,0	93.2%
WAS 95, POR 91	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.34,0.23,0.07,0.07,0.08,0	93.2%