NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	109		Excitement	7.0 [485]		MVP	Blake Griffin (DET): +30.7%
LA Clippers	104		Comeback	1.1 [398]		LVP	Reggie Jackson (DET): -24.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0.31	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.31	0.24	0.08	0.01	23	73%	0.44	4	-0.13	14	93%	0.05
Reggie Bullock	0.21	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.21	0.07	0.14	0.00	14	61%	0.23	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.02	-0.02	13	65%	0.21	3	-0.11	5	80%	0.01
Khyri Thomas	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	125%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	7	12%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Jackson	-0.24	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24	-0.18	-0.07	-0.01	18	27%	-0.16	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.02

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.01	5	62%	0.12	1	-0.01	6	33%	-0.05
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	14	62%	0.19	2	-0.10	6	83%	0.02
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.04,0,0,0,0.19,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	14	65%	0.17	4	-0.16	6	100%	0.03
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sindarius Thornwell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	15	61%	0.09	5	-0.12	8	100%	0.05
Tobias Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	9	55%	0.04	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	7	47%	-0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	1.8	30.3	14.7	28.2	2.5	35.4	140.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +20.9%

LAC -3.5%

DET +32.5%

LAC -1.0%

DET +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	LAC	NBA	DET	LAC	NBA
this game	16.9	12.3	14.3	109.0	107.2	109.3
season	15.3	13.9		107.5	111.3
opponent	14.1	14.0		110.7	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.7	16.0	15.4	20.7	16.9
LAC	14.3	11.6	12.8	10.6	12.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Drummond	85	83	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.23	18	-13	31	17.0	16.1	0.85	12.5	11.4	1.03
Reggie Bullock	72	70	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.33	13	-8	21	17.6	14.9	2.68	11.9	13.3	-1.32
Blake Griffin	83	81	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.26	11	-6	17	17.4	14.4	3.02	12.1	13.2	-1.05
Reggie Jackson	84	81	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.26	9	-4	13	17.4	14.0	3.40	12.0	14.1	-2.17
Bruce Brown	55	54	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	2	1	18.3	15.1	3.22	12.1	12.6	-0.45
Khyri Thomas	9	9	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	0	5	16.1	16.9	-0.82	10.0	12.5	-2.55
Langston Galloway	31	30	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.00	1	4	-3	15.1	17.6	-2.51	13.7	11.7	2.01
Jose Calderon	16	16	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	9	-13	14.0	17.4	-3.40	14.1	12.0	2.17
Jon Leuer	11	10	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.10	-8	13	-21	14.5	17.1	-2.60	12.0	12.3	-0.34
Luke Kennard	28	27	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.03	-8	13	-21	14.9	17.6	-2.68	13.3	11.9	1.32
Stanley Johnson	26	24	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	0.16	-15	20	-35	15.0	17.5	-2.46	12.1	12.4	-0.30

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Wallace	27	29	0.28	-0.78	1.07	-0.18	16	-21	37	12.7	12.1	0.60	16.0	17.2	-1.16
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	36	37	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.11	3	-8	11	12.9	11.9	1.01	15.3	17.8	-2.52
Sindarius Thornwell	0	1	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-3	1	0.0	12.3	-12.31	13.0	16.9	-3.90
Mike Scott	6	5	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.09	-6	1	-7	14.5	12.2	2.34	14.8	17.0	-2.17
Marcin Gortat	28	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-1	-3	13.2	11.9	1.32	16.8	16.9	-0.14
Lou Williams	57	58	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.36	5	-10	15	12.2	12.5	-0.37	16.7	17.0	-0.28
Avery Bradley	44	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	4	-13	12.3	12.3	0.02	17.2	16.5	0.70
Patrick Beverley	67	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.33	-1	-4	3	12.0	12.9	-0.86	16.9	16.7	0.29
Montrezl Harrell	69	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-4	3	11.9	13.2	-1.32	16.9	16.8	0.14
Danilo Gallinari	76	77	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.27	-9	4	-13	12.1	13.1	-1.00	17.8	13.7	4.17
Tobias Harris	75	76	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.25	-17	12	-29	12.2	12.5	-0.31	16.9	16.6	0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.27,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.12,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.17,0.25,0.15,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.28,0.33,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.27,0.38,0.07,0.03,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 95, POR 91	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.34,0.23,0.07,0.07,0.08,0	93.5%
IND 98, WAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.34,0.39,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.18,0.36,0.21,0.11,0.09,0	93.4%
MIN 92, DAL 83	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.47,0.15,0.06,0.01,0	93.2%