NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	99		Excitement	7.2 [426]		MVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): +32.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	108		Comeback	6.7 [323]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): -27.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.33	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.21	0.08	-0.04	19	68%	0.34	1	-0.01	12	92%	0.07
Nemanja Bjelica	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	5	80%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Georges-Hunt	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Gorgui Dieng	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	13	38%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.20	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.11	-0.03	0.06	14	43%	-0.09	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	-0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18,-0.25,-0.29,-0.27,-0.27,-0.28	-0.05	-0.20	0.03	20	47%	-0.10	4	-0.18	5	100%	0.03

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.09	0.05	22	58%	0.22	1	-0.03	16	81%	-0.02
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	6	83%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.05	0.02	18	49%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	11	67%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	7	53%	0.14	2	-0.12	5	60%	-0.01
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	11	52%	0.04	1	-0.03	9	78%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	6	17%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.8	29.2	15.5	29.5	3.3	37.4	144.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +43.1%

MIN -15.9%

POR +6.5%

POR +12.3%

POR +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	POR	NBA	MIN	POR	NBA
this game	14.4	14.0	14.7	97.1	106.9	107.5
season	15.3	15.2		111.8	107.8
opponent	14.3	14.4		105.7	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	12.3	17.0	14.0	14.8	14.4
POR	14.4	15.7	13.2	12.8	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	64	63	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.02	5	-14	19	13.8	15.5	-1.69	14.2	13.6	0.57
Tyus Jones	27	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-9	9	15.4	14.0	1.40	13.8	14.0	-0.17
Nemanja Bjelica	75	77	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	-3	-3	13.4	17.2	-3.82	13.7	14.9	-1.25
Jamal Crawford	54	53	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.26	-5	-4	-1	14.4	14.4	0.07	13.6	14.3	-0.67
Karl-Anthony Towns	86	86	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.24	-6	-3	-3	14.7	12.7	1.97	14.0	13.6	0.42
Andrew Wiggins	78	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.19	-9	0	-9	15.0	12.4	2.66	14.1	13.6	0.53
Jeff Teague	78	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.25	-8	-1	-7	13.9	16.0	-2.13	13.6	15.1	-1.49
Gorgui Dieng	48	46	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.27	-14	5	-19	15.5	13.5	1.98	14.8	13.3	1.55

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shabazz Napier	54	56	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.23	21	-12	33	13.8	14.2	-0.39	15.3	13.3	1.98
Ed Davis	56	58	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.28	8	1	7	14.5	13.3	1.17	14.7	14.0	0.68
CJ McCollum	79	79	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.27	6	3	3	13.7	14.7	-0.98	14.7	13.5	1.21
Damian Lillard	84	82	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	0	9	13.7	15.2	-1.46	13.8	16.7	-2.91
Al-Farouq Aminu	64	63	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.20	5	4	1	13.7	14.5	-0.79	13.7	15.5	-1.82
Zach Collins	36	38	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	5	-1	14.4	13.7	0.71	15.6	13.7	1.90
Maurice Harkless	18	17	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	10	-11	13.8	14.0	-0.15	12.9	14.7	-1.76
Jusuf Nurkic	40	39	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.03	0	9	-9	14.4	13.7	0.77	14.7	14.2	0.50
Pat Connaughton	29	29	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.09	0	9	-9	14.7	13.7	0.97	14.0	14.6	-0.62
Evan Turner	45	49	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.08	-7	16	-23	13.6	14.2	-0.65	14.1	14.7	-0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.33,0.37,0.43,0.54,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.29,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.13,0.15,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.76,0.97,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 97, WAS 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.23,0.13,0.26,0.18,0.12,0.17,0.37,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.75,0.9,0.97,0.99,1	91.6%
BOS 96, ATL 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.39,0.43,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.59,0.6,0.77,0.86,0.96,1,1,1	91.3%
UTA 107, SAC 117	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.29,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.78,0.85,0.96,1	91.2%