NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	131		Excitement	4.2 [991]		MVP	Isaiah Thomas (LAL): +19.7%
Miami Heat	113		Comeback	1.3 [438]		LVP	Josh Richardson (MIA): -7.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.13	0.01	-0.05	20	69%	0.22	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Julius Randle	0.18	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.16	0.01	-0.01	13	71%	0.21	2	-0.03	9	100%	0.04
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.01	0.00	8	82%	0.15	2	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.02	-0.01	14	63%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.00	6	83%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	10	73%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Lonzo Ball	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	73%	0.07	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00
Thomas Bryant	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton II	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ennis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	60%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.01	-0.00	18	66%	0.15	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Justise Winslow	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.01	-0.02	11	71%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	0%	0.00
Rodney McGruder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.00	8	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	-0.00	0.05	7	83%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Mickey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Goran Dragic	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	19	45%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	17	44%	0.00	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.7	27.0	14.8	28.2	1.5	36.5	135.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +45.4%

LAL +10.6%

MIA -8.1%

LAL +2.3%

MIA -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIA	NBA	LAL	MIA	NBA
this game	14.6	15.1	14.7	136.5	115.3	107.5
season	13.7	15.1		105.7	105.4
opponent	14.6	14.8		105.8	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.2	14.1	15.2	16.2	14.6
MIA	13.0	17.2	14.8	15.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lonzo Ball	68	69	0.62	-0.12	0.75	-0.08	24	-6	30	14.7	14.3	0.38	15.8	13.4	2.33
Julius Randle	69	68	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.10	15	3	12	14.9	13.7	1.19	15.5	14.2	1.29
Ivica Zubac	35	36	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.19	19	-1	20	13.6	15.1	-1.52	16.2	14.5	1.74
Kyle Kuzma	55	57	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.14	16	2	14	14.8	14.3	0.48	15.5	14.5	0.95
Isaiah Thomas	56	59	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	5	8	15.1	13.9	1.23	16.4	13.1	3.30
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	73	75	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.12	10	8	2	14.4	15.2	-0.76	14.3	17.8	-3.52
Brook Lopez	46	46	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	18	-18	14.4	14.8	-0.35	14.2	15.9	-1.77
Brandon Ingram	72	74	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.32	-10	28	-38	14.5	15.0	-0.49	14.3	17.6	-3.35
Thomas Bryant	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	17	-16	13.5	14.6	-1.12	7.0	15.3	-8.26
Gary Payton II	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	17	-16	13.5	14.6	-1.12	7.0	15.3	-8.26
Tyler Ennis	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	17	-16	13.5	14.6	-1.12	7.0	15.3	-8.26

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Babbitt	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-17	16	7.0	15.3	-8.26	13.5	14.6	-1.12
Jordan Mickey	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-17	16	7.0	15.3	-8.26	13.5	14.6	-1.12
Rodney McGruder	51	47	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-14	10	15.5	14.7	0.83	14.7	14.5	0.13
Bam Adebayo	59	60	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.22	5	-23	28	14.0	16.7	-2.66	15.4	13.3	2.06
Goran Dragic	72	71	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-20	22	14.7	16.1	-1.34	14.6	14.6	-0.06
James Johnson	50	49	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	-12	6	15.7	14.5	1.24	14.6	14.6	0.04
Justise Winslow	63	63	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.24	1	-19	20	14.4	16.3	-1.90	14.8	14.2	0.63
Kelly Olynyk	29	26	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.22	-19	1	-20	15.9	14.8	1.14	13.0	15.2	-2.13
Hassan Whiteside	40	39	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.15	-19	1	-20	15.4	14.9	0.52	13.2	15.6	-2.38
Dwyane Wade	51	51	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.08	-18	0	-18	15.5	14.6	0.95	14.7	14.4	0.28
Josh Richardson	71	70	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	0.14	-30	12	-42	15.8	13.1	2.73	15.0	13.4	1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.45,0.53,0.42,0.51,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.27,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 118, IND 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.35,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
LAC 120, ORL 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.25,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
CLE 94, MIL 82	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.23,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.21,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%