NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Excitement	4.3 [976]		MVP	Monta Ellis (MIL): +13.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	82		Comeback	1.0 [326]		LVP	Luc Mbah a Moute (MIL): -9.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.00	-0.00	9	76%	0.16	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	8	70%	0.08	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Dion Waiters	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	17	53%	0.11	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.01	12	58%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Luke Walton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	9	39%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Pargo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Daniel Gibson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.01	14	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Alonzo Gee	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	12	38%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.03	0.04	27	62%	0.18	3	-0.05	6	83%	-0.00
Doron Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	6	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	13	27%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	3	25%	-0.03	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	7	24%	-0.05	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.0	25.3	15.4	26.1	1.8	29.3	123.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +35.5%

CLE +2.7%

CLE +9.6%

CLE +0.4%

CLE +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIL	NBA	CLE	MIL	NBA
this game	16.5	14.1	15.4	100.0	87.2	104.1
season	15.5	14.7		102.5	101.6
opponent	15.3	15.2		103.9	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.9	14.7	16.0	18.7	16.5
MIL	15.2	14.7	14.0	12.6	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Thompson	72	72	0.70	-0.20	0.90	-0.03	25	-13	38	16.3	17.2	-0.86	14.6	12.5	2.17
Jeremy Pargo	25	25	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.00	14	-2	16	16.2	16.6	-0.38	15.8	13.5	2.24
Dion Waiters	55	55	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.02	14	-2	16	15.8	17.6	-1.78	13.9	14.5	-0.59
CJ Miles	41	41	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	2	8	16.8	16.3	0.50	13.5	14.6	-1.07
Luke Walton	47	47	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	11	-10	16.7	16.4	0.32	14.2	14.0	0.19
Alonzo Gee	56	55	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	10	-8	16.2	16.9	-0.67	14.3	13.8	0.55
Daniel Gibson	39	39	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.17	-2	14	-16	17.6	15.8	1.78	14.5	13.9	0.59
Tyler Zeller	66	67	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	14	-16	16.7	16.1	0.54	13.7	15.2	-1.50
Kyrie Irving	69	69	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	14	-16	16.6	16.2	0.38	13.5	15.8	-2.24

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Gooden	8	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-16	20	10.5	14.5	-3.95	17.7	16.4	1.27
John Henson	8	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-16	20	10.5	14.5	-3.95	17.7	16.4	1.27
Doron Lamb	21	22	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-14	16	14.2	14.1	0.16	17.5	16.2	1.28
Ersan Ilyasova	39	40	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.22	4	-16	20	13.3	14.7	-1.38	17.4	15.8	1.62
Marquis Daniels	42	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-6	0	13.6	14.5	-0.90	17.0	16.1	0.95
Ekpe Udoh	35	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-8	4	14.5	13.9	0.59	16.4	16.6	-0.24
Monta Ellis	78	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	-4	-4	14.1	14.1	0.07	16.3	17.4	-1.09
Luc Mbah a Moute	48	46	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	0	-12	15.0	13.2	1.89	15.3	17.7	-2.47
Mike Dunleavy	58	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	-1	-10	14.0	14.3	-0.31	16.5	16.6	-0.17
Brandon Jennings	74	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.07	-13	1	-14	14.1	14.0	0.09	16.7	15.8	0.92
Larry Sanders	59	59	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.10	-20	8	-28	15.1	12.5	2.51	15.9	17.5	-1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.23,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.21,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 102, CHA 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.01,0,0	95.0%
HOU 105, LAC 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
DEN 134, LAC 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.29,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.23,0.24,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%