NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	105		Excitement	4.8 [858]		MVP	Yao Ming (HOU): +7.6%
Los Angeles Clippers	90		Comeback	1.1 [535]		LVP	Chris Kaman (LAC): -10.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	7	90%	0.13	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Eric Piatkowski	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.05	-0.00	3	56%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Maurice Taylor	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	12	63%	0.05	1	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Bostjan Nachbar	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	54%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Moochie Norris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	10	57%	0.04	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Steve Francis	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	76%	0.10	6	-0.09	5	80%	0.00
Alton Ford	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	20	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kelvin Cato	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.13	0.01	-0.06	5	29%	-0.00	3	-0.06	4	0%	-0.03

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	12	62%	0.09	4	-0.08	8	75%	-0.00
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	5	53%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	20	55%	0.01	3	-0.05	20	90%	0.04
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	11	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	4	10%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	7	29%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	4	20%	-0.07	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	591.3	1.8	37.0	-704.6	29.3	1.8	30.2	-13.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +62.2%

LAC -6.2%

HOU +2.5%

LAC -8.2%

LAC -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAC	NBA	HOU	LAC	NBA
this game	15.6	16.1	15.7	115.4	98.9	100.5
season	16.5	15.5		98.8	101.3
opponent	15.4	15.6		106.0	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.2	15.3	13.9	18.0	15.6
LAC	16.8	14.1	16.7	17.1	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yao Ming	60	60	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.06	15	0	15	14.9	16.8	-1.94	17.1	14.2	2.87
Cuttino Mobley	73	72	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.09	17	-2	19	15.9	14.2	1.67	16.2	15.5	0.71
Moochie Norris	45	43	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.16	8	7	1	15.4	15.8	-0.41	15.3	16.8	-1.49
Steve Francis	61	64	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.12	14	1	13	15.3	16.0	-0.71	16.3	15.7	0.60
Jim Jackson	47	51	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.05	10	5	5	15.9	15.2	0.60	17.4	14.4	2.97
Eric Piatkowski	20	17	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.06	6	9	-3	16.5	15.3	1.20	18.3	15.6	2.71
Maurice Taylor	47	46	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	9	-3	17.0	14.1	2.89	15.1	17.1	-2.02
Scott Padgett	27	26	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	12	-9	14.9	15.8	-0.90	13.9	17.0	-3.03
Kelvin Cato	48	50	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	9	-3	15.4	15.8	-0.39	17.0	15.0	1.94
Alton Ford	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	18	-21	16.5	15.5	0.96	9.0	16.2	-7.17
Bostjan Nachbar	25	25	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.14	-7	22	-29	14.2	16.1	-1.93	12.7	17.4	-4.70

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie House	51	52	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-11	7	14.5	18.1	-3.59	16.1	14.9	1.16
Quentin Richardson	16	17	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.08	-9	-6	-3	17.6	15.8	1.79	15.4	15.6	-0.18
Bobby Simmons	40	38	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.16	-1	-14	13	16.2	16.0	0.16	15.2	15.8	-0.56
Chris Wilcox	33	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.03	-8	-7	-1	18.0	15.0	3.00	15.4	15.6	-0.21
Keyon Dooling	48	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-11	7	16.3	15.8	0.52	14.4	16.8	-2.38
Glen Rice	18	18	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	-8	1	15.1	16.3	-1.22	15.1	15.7	-0.56
Corey Maggette	78	75	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	-8	1	16.2	15.7	0.46	15.6	15.2	0.38
Predrag Drobnjak	54	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	-6	-3	17.2	14.5	2.70	15.4	15.8	-0.39
Chris Kaman	37	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-7	-1	15.4	16.6	-1.15	15.0	15.9	-0.92
Melvin Ely	36	38	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	-5	-5	15.4	16.5	-1.11	16.2	15.1	1.07
Doug Overton	44	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-7	-1	15.7	16.5	-0.83	16.8	14.3	2.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 133, ORL 112	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
MIA 91, CLE 81	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
DAL 91, MIN 65	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%