NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	91		Excitement	3.5 [1101]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +8.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	65		Comeback	1.0 [1111]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DAL): -8.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.00	0.02	-0.06	18	50%	0.09	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.01	0.04	18	62%	0.08	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Josh Howard	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	13	61%	0.11	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
DeSagana Diop	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	9	45%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Austin Croshere	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	8	31%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Ager	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.00	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	2	67%	0.02	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.14	0.00	-0.05	7	21%	-0.02	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	14	50%	0.08	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.08	7	29%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bracey Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.01	11	35%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	16	41%	-0.04	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.01
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	7	53%	0.01	5	-0.07	5	80%	0.02
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	6	0%	-0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.7	30.2	15.5	22.2	2.7	27.0	125.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +46.3%

MIN -4.7%

DAL +3.9%

DAL +3.1%

DAL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIN	NBA	DAL	MIN	NBA
this game	17.3	14.7	15.4	101.1	72.2	104.5
season	16.3	15.4		108.7	101.9
opponent	15.6	15.2		105.8	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.0	15.0	20.1	19.5	17.3
MIN	13.8	17.0	14.2	13.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	71	70	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.08	18	8	10	17.2	17.6	-0.37	15.0	13.7	1.24
Dirk Nowitzki	72	71	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.15	20	6	14	17.7	15.5	2.24	14.5	15.4	-0.83
Josh Howard	67	68	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.20	20	6	14	17.7	16.2	1.50	14.9	14.1	0.76
DeSagana Diop	48	47	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	20	-14	17.0	17.6	-0.62	14.3	15.2	-0.91
Erick Dampier	39	39	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.28	18	8	10	17.6	17.1	0.53	15.1	14.4	0.69
Devin Harris	43	44	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.14	13	13	0	17.8	16.8	1.05	15.3	14.2	1.14
Jerry Stackhouse	43	43	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.10	4	22	-18	17.3	17.2	0.11	14.2	15.2	-1.05
Austin Croshere	39	39	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.27	14	12	2	18.4	16.5	1.93	14.1	15.2	-1.12
Maurice Ager	14	15	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.14	9	17	-8	14.4	17.8	-3.47	16.5	14.4	2.11
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	22	-18	11.7	17.8	-6.04	13.4	14.8	-1.39
Jose Juan Barea	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	22	-18	11.7	17.8	-6.04	13.4	14.8	-1.39

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Hudson	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-22	18	14.4	14.7	-0.37	13.2	17.7	-4.43
Justin Reed	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-22	18	14.4	14.7	-0.37	13.2	17.7	-4.43
Bracey Wright	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-22	18	13.4	14.8	-1.39	11.7	17.8	-6.04
Rashad McCants	32	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.35	-16	-10	-6	15.0	14.6	0.40	18.5	16.6	1.94
Mike James	32	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.16	-10	-16	6	14.4	14.9	-0.52	18.5	16.6	1.84
Marko Jaric	18	20	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.10	-9	-17	8	15.1	14.6	0.50	18.0	17.1	0.98
Craig Smith	54	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.14	-13	-13	0	14.4	15.2	-0.90	18.6	15.5	3.14
Mark Blount	45	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.12	-14	-12	-2	15.8	13.7	2.09	15.9	18.7	-2.81
Ricky Davis	65	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	-13	0	14.7	14.6	0.10	17.7	16.4	1.26
Randy Foye	50	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.01	-12	-14	2	15.0	14.4	0.61	17.2	17.4	-0.28
Trenton Hassell	58	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	-16	6	14.6	15.0	-0.40	16.6	18.5	-1.94
Kevin Garnett	73	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.14	-21	-5	-16	14.4	16.2	-1.81	17.6	15.6	2.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 100, NJN 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
SAS 99, NYK 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
SEA 117, GSW 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.27,0.26,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.26,0.22,0.11,0.19,0.11,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%