NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	118		Excitement	4.2 [999]		MVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): +12.5%
Indiana Pacers	104		Comeback	1.4 [332]		LVP	Chase Budinger (IND): -7.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.01	0.01	15	71%	0.15	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Gary Neal	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.03	10	60%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.01	8	75%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.04	21	60%	0.10	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Ramon Sessions	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	7	71%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	44%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jarell Eddie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	8	31%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	9	44%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	9	44%	0.01	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	-0.00	-0.01	14	63%	0.09	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.13	0.00	0.06	8	75%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Solomon Hill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.05	14	52%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.03	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	19	46%	0.02	5	-0.07	8	100%	0.03
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	4	36%	-0.06	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.3	28.4	14.8	27.2	2.5	28.3	128.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +36.8%

IND -7.2%

WAS +20.2%

IND -1.3%

WAS +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	IND	NBA	WAS	IND	NBA
this game	15.5	13.1	14.9	116.8	104.0	105.1
season	13.8	14.6		104.1	103.2
opponent	14.9	15.1		101.6	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.0	11.9	16.5	17.0	15.5
IND	11.1	14.7	14.2	12.2	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrett Temple	60	59	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	-1	16	14.8	16.6	-1.71	13.6	12.3	1.33
Jared Dudley	64	63	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	0	14	15.2	16.1	-0.85	13.6	12.3	1.32
DeJuan Blair	50	49	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.11	7	7	0	15.2	15.9	-0.68	12.3	13.9	-1.60
Nene	41	41	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.10	14	0	14	16.3	15.0	1.30	14.7	12.0	2.64
Ramon Sessions	49	46	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	4	6	15.6	15.5	0.05	13.8	12.5	1.30
John Wall	65	67	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.01	7	7	0	15.9	15.0	0.89	12.6	14.1	-1.48
Bradley Beal	46	47	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.13	11	3	8	15.5	15.6	-0.08	12.3	13.8	-1.43
Gary Neal	49	49	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	13	-12	14.7	16.3	-1.61	13.5	12.7	0.76
Kelly Oubre	38	37	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	16	-18	17.1	14.6	2.42	12.3	13.6	-1.27
Drew Gooden	36	36	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	15	-16	15.9	15.4	0.49	12.9	13.2	-0.33
Jarell Eddie	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	20	-26	15.4	15.6	-0.12	7.7	13.4	-5.78

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myles Turner	39	39	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.13	5	-19	24	12.3	13.6	-1.26	15.6	15.5	0.07
Joe Young	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-18	22	9.6	13.4	-3.79	15.4	15.6	-0.12
Solomon Hill	16	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-16	18	9.9	13.7	-3.76	16.9	15.3	1.61
Chase Budinger	43	41	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-14	14	13.6	12.7	0.89	13.6	16.9	-3.26
Lavoy Allen	44	44	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-12	10	13.5	12.8	0.75	14.6	16.2	-1.61
Paul George	70	71	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	-5	-4	12.6	14.2	-1.52	16.3	13.8	2.43
Monta Ellis	77	78	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	-7	0	12.7	14.4	-1.73	16.3	13.1	3.13
Ian Mahinmi	41	41	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-7	0	12.9	13.3	-0.42	17.1	14.5	2.57
Jordan Hill	18	18	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.03	-10	-4	-6	15.8	12.5	3.27	11.1	16.5	-5.46
Glenn Robinson	23	23	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	-7	0	14.4	12.7	1.73	13.1	16.3	-3.13
CJ Miles	53	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.02	-12	-2	-10	12.9	13.3	-0.37	16.4	14.5	1.92
George Hill	69	71	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	0.14	-27	13	-40	14.1	10.9	3.18	15.7	15.1	0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.35,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 116, CHA 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.4%
SAS 118, GSW 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.56,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
SEA 106, UTA 90	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.11,0.2,0.11,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%