NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	89		Excitement	4.0 [1044]		MVP	Justise Winslow (MIA): +12.4%
Miami Heat	115		Comeback	1.1 [1203]		LVP	Jarell Martin (MEM): -18.1%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deyonta Davis	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	11	58%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mario Chalmers	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.04	7	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Rabb	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	4	75%	0.07	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Andrew Harrison	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	13	55%	0.02	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Brice Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myke Henry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	0.00	0.06	4	100%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kobi Simmons	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	8	33%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
JaMychal Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	10	50%	0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	9	40%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jarell Martin	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.04	-0.02	8	22%	-0.10	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justise Winslow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.02	-0.02	12	65%	0.12	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.00	0.04	12	70%	0.13	2	-0.05	9	100%	0.03
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	11	68%	0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.00	0.05	7	72%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	73%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Josh Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	13	54%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	10	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.02
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Mickey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	7	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	25.6	15.4	31.5	1.8	22.3	124.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +23.5%

MIA +8.6%

MIA +5.4%

MIA +11.5%

MIA +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	MIA	NBA	MEM	MIA	NBA
this game	15.1	14.2	14.7	90.8	116.2	107.5
season	15.4	15.1		103.4	105.4
opponent	14.6	14.6		105.8	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.7	13.7	15.7	15.2	15.1
MIA	11.0	14.0	14.3	18.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brice Johnson	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-24	22	14.9	15.1	-0.18	16.2	14.0	2.23
Myke Henry	23	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-27	28	14.0	15.4	-1.32	18.4	12.9	5.52
Dillon Brooks	59	56	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.14	-12	-14	2	14.9	15.3	-0.43	13.0	15.8	-2.83
Kobi Simmons	45	46	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.21	-15	-11	-4	15.5	14.7	0.77	13.8	14.5	-0.72
JaMychal Green	75	75	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.09	-11	-15	4	14.3	17.4	-3.11	14.5	13.2	1.30
Deyonta Davis	50	48	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.05	-10	-16	6	15.2	14.9	0.39	13.9	14.5	-0.53
Ivan Rabb	45	49	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	-17	8	14.6	15.4	-0.75	14.8	13.6	1.20
Andrew Harrison	58	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.11	-14	-12	-2	15.1	15.0	0.09	14.8	13.4	1.37
Mario Chalmers	34	34	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.16	-16	-10	-6	15.3	14.9	0.33	11.5	15.6	-4.10
Ben McLemore	31	32	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.23	-19	-7	-12	15.5	14.9	0.59	13.1	14.7	-1.62
Jarell Martin	61	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.30	-23	-3	-20	16.0	13.5	2.51	14.5	13.6	0.96

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Johnson	67	67	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.17	19	7	12	13.3	16.0	-2.72	15.3	14.5	0.74
Wayne Ellington	58	58	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.34	24	2	22	13.8	14.8	-1.00	15.1	15.0	0.04
Bam Adebayo	37	36	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.43	24	2	22	14.6	13.9	0.73	15.4	14.9	0.53
Dwyane Wade	36	36	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.48	26	0	26	14.6	14.0	0.57	15.5	14.8	0.75
James Johnson	40	39	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.41	23	3	20	13.9	14.4	-0.49	15.3	14.9	0.47
Josh Richardson	55	54	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.20	15	11	4	14.5	13.9	0.59	15.5	14.5	1.04
Justise Winslow	59	59	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	23	-20	14.4	13.9	0.49	14.9	15.3	-0.47
Hassan Whiteside	55	56	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	19	-12	13.3	15.4	-2.11	15.0	15.1	-0.08
Goran Dragic	54	54	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	21	-16	13.5	15.0	-1.48	14.8	15.4	-0.65
Luke Babbitt	20	19	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.19	-6	32	-38	17.0	13.5	3.58	13.3	15.5	-2.15
Udonis Haslem	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	31	-36	19.1	13.8	5.33	13.3	15.2	-1.83
Jordan Mickey	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	31	-36	19.1	13.8	5.33	13.3	15.2	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 73, NYK 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
UTA 96, DAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,1	95.7%
IND 80, DAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%