NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	103		Excitement	5.5 [750]		MVP	Kevin Durant (GSW): +27.6%
Golden State Warriors	121		Comeback	2.9 [1079]		LVP	Draymond Green (GSW): -14.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Powell	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.01	0.01	9	82%	0.17	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	-0.00	10	70%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Dennis Smith Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.03	18	58%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Wesley Matthews	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	17	47%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Salah Mejri	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	10	50%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Collinsworth	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
J.J. Barea	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	9	30%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Yogi Ferrell	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	9	45%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	50%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.18	0.10	-0.00	13	80%	0.31	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Stephen Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.05	-0.01	12	77%	0.23	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.01	6	71%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	80%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	67%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	4	25%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	0.02	3	83%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.02	15	60%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.05	-0.03	17	32%	-0.12	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.7	28.6	14.7	24.5	2.5	26.4	124.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +48.2%

DAL -0.5%

GSW +13.9%

DAL -12.5%

GSW +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	GSW	NBA	DAL	GSW	NBA
this game	16.0	13.9	14.7	107.3	124.7	107.5
season	15.4	13.7		105.3	112.6
opponent	15.1	14.3		105.8	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.5	17.7	15.0	15.6	16.0
GSW	13.9	10.0	15.6	16.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	57	59	0.21	-0.71	0.91	-0.12	11	-29	40	15.4	16.9	-1.60	13.6	14.3	-0.76
J.J. Barea	57	60	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.07	9	-27	36	15.4	16.9	-1.60	13.6	14.3	-0.76
Dwight Powell	64	65	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.09	6	-24	30	15.7	16.5	-0.75	13.6	14.4	-0.82
Jalen Jones	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-17	16	13.9	16.3	-2.38	18.5	13.2	5.30
Wesley Matthews	59	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-14	10	15.5	16.9	-1.41	13.7	14.2	-0.50
Kyle Collinsworth	37	37	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	-4	-10	16.9	15.5	1.41	14.2	13.7	0.50
Dennis Smith Jr.	62	63	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.02	-19	1	-20	16.0	15.9	0.14	13.4	14.6	-1.17
Salah Mejri	32	32	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	0.12	-24	6	-30	16.5	15.7	0.75	14.4	13.6	0.82
Yogi Ferrell	61	59	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	0.09	-25	7	-32	17.0	14.3	2.65	13.6	14.2	-0.54
Maxi Kleber	39	38	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	0.14	-29	11	-40	16.9	15.4	1.60	14.3	13.6	0.76

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	50	51	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.20	27	-9	36	12.3	15.5	-3.21	18.7	12.9	5.86
David West	33	33	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.21	19	-1	20	12.6	14.5	-1.85	18.3	14.8	3.46
Kevon Looney	30	31	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.11	7	11	-4	14.5	13.6	0.98	15.0	16.5	-1.43
Patrick McCaw	26	25	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	13	-8	14.5	13.6	0.88	13.6	16.8	-3.19
Klay Thompson	70	68	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.22	18	0	18	14.0	13.5	0.47	16.4	15.1	1.31
Shaun Livingston	26	26	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.28	18	0	18	12.7	14.3	-1.59	18.9	14.9	3.96
Stephen Curry	61	61	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.16	3	15	-12	13.4	14.7	-1.29	15.8	16.3	-0.49
Kevin Durant	61	61	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.16	3	15	-12	13.4	14.7	-1.29	15.8	16.3	-0.49
Draymond Green	67	65	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.14	11	7	4	13.6	14.5	-0.98	16.5	15.0	1.43
Omri Casspi	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	19.1	13.4	5.74	8.4	16.7	-8.32
JaVale McGee	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	19.1	13.4	5.74	8.4	16.7	-8.32
Nick Young	19	18	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.16	-9	27	-36	15.6	13.4	2.21	13.3	16.6	-3.28
Zaza Pachulia	26	25	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.09	-10	28	-38	16.3	13.0	3.30	13.4	16.9	-3.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.39,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.81,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 88, DET 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.7,0.78,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%
PHX 77, DAL 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.71,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1	93.4%
DEN 105, MIN 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.78,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.87,0.93,0.98,1,0.98,1	93.4%