inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 88 Excitement4.9 [812] MVPChauncey Billups (DET): +26.9%
Detroit Pistons 111 Comeback2.9 [293] LVPRick Fox (LAL): -21.9%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derek Fisher0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.020.00580%0.0900.0000%0.00
Robert Horry0.010,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.00-0.00-0.011054%0.051-0.044100%0.03
Kareem Rush0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.07-0.010.05580%0.0100.0000%0.00
Samaki Walker0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.02-0.00250%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jannero Pargo0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Slava Medvedenko0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mark Madsen-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.00250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Brian Shaw-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.02333%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Devean George-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.000.00437%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal-0.030,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.09-0.00-0.061857%0.097-0.13667%-0.03
Kobe Bryant-0.050,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.08-0.04-0.072345%0.034-0.081100%0.01
Rick Fox-0.220,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.17-0.06-0.0167%-0.123-0.09250%-0.01

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chauncey Billups0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.270.270.170.120.022069%0.2700.00862%-0.02
Mehmet Okur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.160.040.041092%0.181-0.014100%0.00
Jon Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.03-0.00764%0.091-0.0300%0.00
Corliss Williamson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.010.02-0.04668%0.092-0.041369%0.02
Ben Wallace0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01-0.01667%0.042-0.03367%0.00
Hubert Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Danny Manning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Pepe Sanchez00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tayshaun Prince00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Curry0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.00233%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.040.010.011444%-0.011-0.044100%0.03
Clifford Robinson0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.14-0.06-0.00714%-0.093-0.1000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.82.830.216.726.32.630.1136.4
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +31.8%
DET +12.9%
LAL -10.7%
DET +16.3%
LAL -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALDETNBALALDETNBA
this game16.314.315.593.6118.1101.6
season15.416.8105.0101.7
opponent15.615.197.8102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL14.718.815.416.316.3
DET18.012.515.212.014.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jannero Pargo550.00-0.500.500.09-3-201716.216.3-0.1311.614.5-2.87
Slava Medvedenko550.00-0.500.500.09-3-201716.216.3-0.1311.614.5-2.87
Robert Horry5756-0.00-0.500.50-0.186-293516.116.6-0.5015.512.62.88
Rick Fox5655-0.03-0.470.45-0.175-283315.517.6-2.0715.512.62.91
Brian Shaw1011-0.08-0.420.340.12-7-16917.516.21.3212.714.5-1.80
Derek Fisher6967-0.17-0.330.150.06-8-15715.718.1-2.4014.912.92.01
Samaki Walker2120-0.18-0.320.14-0.09-3-201712.817.3-4.5215.514.01.50
Shaquille O'Neal6869-0.32-0.18-0.140.18-17-6-1117.413.53.9514.214.7-0.55
Kareem Rush3537-0.36-0.14-0.220.29-22-1-2117.815.42.3612.615.4-2.75
Kobe Bryant8079-0.40-0.10-0.300.07-16-7-916.316.6-0.3014.314.30.06
Mark Madsen3839-0.47-0.03-0.450.35-285-3317.615.52.0712.615.5-2.91
Devean George2627-0.49-0.01-0.470.07-19-4-1516.216.4-0.2313.914.5-0.60

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mehmet Okur51510.60-0.100.70-0.2529-63513.515.3-1.8516.116.6-0.48
Jon Barry36350.56-0.060.630.011941514.614.10.5215.716.7-1.01
Corliss Williamson56560.54-0.040.58-0.1724-12514.114.7-0.6116.416.20.14
Chauncey Billups82820.420.080.33-0.05167914.711.63.1416.713.63.14
Ben Wallace79800.370.130.25-0.04149514.612.91.6515.819.1-3.23
Pepe Sanchez11100.060.44-0.38-0.14716-912.314.6-2.3216.216.3-0.13
Hubert Davis650.060.44-0.38-0.09518-1311.214.5-3.378.016.8-8.79
Danny Manning440.000.50-0.50-0.09320-1711.014.5-3.4714.016.4-2.42
Tayshaun Prince440.000.50-0.50-0.09320-1711.014.5-3.4714.016.4-2.42
Clifford Robinson5353-0.010.51-0.510.05-225-2714.913.61.3417.414.92.56
Michael Curry3434-0.040.54-0.580.08-427-3115.113.91.2516.516.20.28
Richard Hamilton5456-0.060.56-0.63-0.09122-2114.414.30.0816.915.51.42


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.7,0.78,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 105, MIN 1080.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.78,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.87,0.93,0.98,1,0.98,194.3%
NYK 92, PHI 1090.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,193.9%
DAL 103, GSW 1210.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.39,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.81,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,193.8%