inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Philadelphia 76ers 89 Excitement3.8 [1089] MVPDario Saric (PHI): +7.4%
Boston Celtics 80 Comeback1.5 [495] LVPAl Horford (BOS): -10.5%


Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dario Saric0.070,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07-0.030.02-0.091453%0.124-0.052100%0.01
Trevor Booker0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.003100%0.0600.0000%0.00
Amir Johnson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.00-0.022100%0.041-0.0000%0.00
T.J. McConnell0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.010.03-0.000.02875%0.054-0.04475%0.00
Jerryd Bayless-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.02540%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Robert Covington-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.070.01-0.03542%0.043-0.062100%0.01
Ben Simmons-0.040,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.01-0.02944%-0.003-0.0300%0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Joel Embiid-0.060,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.03-0.030.061958%0.064-0.11786%0.01
Justin Anderson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.00542%-0.002-0.062100%0.01

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shane Larkin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.00-0.00657%0.041-0.032100%0.00
Semi Ojeleye00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marcus Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.010.02964%0.063-0.074100%0.01
Abdel Nader0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Daniel Theis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Aron Baynes0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01425%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Marcus Smart0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.001159%0.034-0.0800%0.00
Terry Rozier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.08-0.00-0.03729%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Jaylen Brown0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.000.061244%-0.051-0.02367%-0.01
Jayson Tatum0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.010.021142%-0.032-0.04450%0.00
Al Horford0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11-0.11-0.02-0.040.051154%-0.043-0.06475%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.13.624.516.429.43.439.5141.9
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHI +25.1%
PHI +9.2%
PHI +16.2%
BOS -1.6%
PHI +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPHIBOSNBAPHIBOSNBA
this game14.814.914.791.882.5107.5
season13.915.1108.1106.4
opponent14.714.7103.5103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
PHI14.612.616.315.814.8
BOS14.815.615.713.514.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Robert Covington81810.450.050.400.1990914.715.0-0.2714.815.5-0.70
Joel Embiid68690.370.130.230.0710-11115.612.82.8715.214.30.84
Dario Saric71690.330.170.170.36-110-1114.216.4-2.2014.815.3-0.52
Ben Simmons71700.310.190.110.39-312-1514.216.4-2.2014.715.4-0.73
Jerryd Bayless50500.280.220.060.0481715.114.40.7616.013.72.28
Justin Anderson31310.250.250.010.0572515.114.60.4315.114.80.26
T.J. McConnell51520.240.26-0.020.0954115.314.21.0614.215.7-1.52
Trevor Booker26280.170.33-0.17-0.1310-11116.414.22.2015.314.80.52
Amir Johnson28270.120.39-0.270.1209-912.715.6-2.9414.615.0-0.40
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot88-0.010.51-0.52-0.0109-913.914.9-0.9813.715.0-1.27

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Semi Ojeleye660.08-0.580.66-0.044-131716.314.81.5113.714.8-1.18
Abdel Nader78-0.06-0.440.37-0.03-1-8717.614.72.8610.415.2-4.79
Daniel Theis1615-0.11-0.390.29-0.02-3-6314.115.1-0.9515.114.70.43
Aron Baynes2929-0.21-0.290.080.03-8-1-716.214.41.7915.814.31.45
Marcus Smart7171-0.24-0.260.02-0.426-152114.615.8-1.1614.016.8-2.83
Terry Rozier4140-0.25-0.25-0.010.07-112-1314.715.1-0.3615.614.21.41
Shane Larkin4444-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.20-3-6315.014.80.1916.213.62.58
Al Horford7173-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.23-2-7514.615.7-1.0114.316.2-1.91
Jaylen Brown6868-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.08-90-914.515.8-1.2515.014.30.71
Jayson Tatum7475-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.30-2-7515.114.40.6314.615.3-0.70
Marcus Morris5856-0.43-0.07-0.350.04-167-2315.114.70.3814.714.8-0.10


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 132, NYK 1060.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.49,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.25,0.15,0.11,0.19,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.0%
VAN 116, WAS 1040.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.34,0.23,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,096.0%
BOS 93, CHA 620.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.33,0.22,0.19,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.6%