NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	132		Excitement	4.8 [874]		MVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (NYK): +15.2%
New York Knicks	106		Comeback	1.3 [1211]		LVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): -16.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	8	81%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.00	8	67%	0.14	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.03
Malcolm Miller	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.00	4	100%	0.11	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.01	0.02	6	77%	0.11	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.02
Delon Wright	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.00	0.04	7	86%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.00	0.06	5	100%	0.05	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Norman Powell	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	7	50%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nigel Hayes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	150%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucas Nogueira	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	14	47%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.03	0.00	16	26%	-0.14	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.02	-0.03	17	57%	0.15	0	0.00	10	90%	0.02
Isaiah Hicks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.05	0.12	-0.04	3	37%	0.11	2	0.00	2	50%	0.10
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damyean Dotson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Troy Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	9	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	10	46%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	13	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	9	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.05	-0.00	0.13	15	56%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.5	30.6	12.7	27.3	1.8	26.0	127.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +32.4%

NYK -3.6%

TOR +15.9%

TOR +5.1%

TOR +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NYK	NBA	TOR	NYK	NBA
this game	14.4	14.1	14.7	130.7	105.0	107.5
season	14.6	14.9		112.7	105.9
opponent	14.5	14.8		109.3	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.5	14.9	14.1	15.4	14.4
NYK	13.7	13.9	14.1	14.6	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	61	61	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.00	14	12	2	14.2	14.8	-0.67	13.7	14.6	-0.96
Pascal Siakam	36	37	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.33	23	3	20	14.1	14.6	-0.52	15.9	13.0	2.83
CJ Miles	37	37	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.22	19	7	12	13.9	14.8	-0.87	15.9	13.0	2.92
Kyle Lowry	61	60	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.07	8	18	-10	14.0	15.1	-1.04	13.7	14.5	-0.79
Jakob Poeltl	43	42	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.25	18	8	10	14.3	14.6	-0.33	15.2	13.3	1.96
Fred VanVleet	34	34	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.25	18	8	10	14.6	14.3	0.30	15.1	13.5	1.58
Jonas Valanciunas	48	49	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.05	6	20	-14	14.0	14.9	-0.93	13.5	14.6	-1.13
Serge Ibaka	55	54	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	25	-24	14.1	14.9	-0.78	13.2	15.1	-1.86
Norman Powell	46	47	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	22	-18	13.8	15.0	-1.14	13.6	14.5	-0.89
Delon Wright	40	40	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.26	12	14	-2	14.8	14.2	0.67	14.6	13.7	0.96
Nigel Hayes	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	24	-22	17.6	14.1	3.50	12.1	14.3	-2.19
Lucas Nogueira	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	24	-22	17.6	14.1	3.50	12.1	14.3	-2.19
Malcolm Miller	24	24	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.11	3	23	-20	17.2	13.6	3.68	11.5	14.9	-3.42

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damyean Dotson	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-28	30	8.2	14.4	-6.28	18.7	14.1	4.59
Troy Williams	12	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-26	26	14.2	14.1	0.11	15.5	14.3	1.17
Isaiah Hicks	23	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-24	22	12.7	14.5	-1.78	15.4	14.2	1.22
Trey Burke	32	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.15	-11	-15	4	15.2	13.5	1.68	13.4	14.9	-1.53
Emmanuel Mudiay	63	64	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.14	-13	-13	0	14.1	14.1	0.03	14.6	14.2	0.40
Luke Kornet	69	69	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.13	-13	-13	0	14.2	13.7	0.56	14.9	13.4	1.48
Tim Hardaway Jr.	80	79	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.24	-19	-7	-12	14.5	12.5	2.01	14.0	16.0	-1.99
Kyle O'Quinn	47	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.31	-22	-4	-18	14.4	13.8	0.59	13.4	15.3	-1.87
Michael Beasley	63	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.10	-15	-11	-4	14.1	13.9	0.20	14.3	14.6	-0.30
Frank Ntilikina	68	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.25	-21	-5	-16	13.2	15.9	-2.73	15.0	13.4	1.65
Courtney Lee	42	42	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.09	-16	-10	-6	14.6	13.7	0.98	13.9	14.8	-0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.49,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.25,0.15,0.11,0.19,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 89, BOS 80	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0	96.0%
BOS 90, ORL 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0	95.8%
DET 96, MEM 74	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%