NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	107		Excitement	4.2 [996]		MVP	Lauri Markkanen (CHI): +22.2%
Chicago Bulls	119		Comeback	1.3 [791]		LVP	Myles Turner (IND): -8.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.21	0.03	0.06	16	88%	0.23	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Joe Young	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	58%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	9	44%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.02	0.05	13	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Alex Poythress	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	19	47%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	10	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Cory Joseph	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	9	45%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	50%	0.00
Myles Turner	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.03	10	46%	-0.03	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.03

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.26	0.05	0.09	17	82%	0.24	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.01
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	-0.01	-0.01	20	70%	0.20	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	8	55%	0.05	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	9	55%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
David Nwaba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	5	58%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Paul Zipser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	9	61%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Denzel Valentine	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	1.8	25.2	15.3	23.7	2.5	29.4	119.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +46.1%

CHI +8.7%

IND -0.6%

IND -3.7%

IND -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	NBA	IND	CHI	NBA
this game	14.9	14.2	14.7	108.1	120.2	107.5
season	14.8	14.2		108.3	103.2
opponent	15.0	15.0		110.2	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.1	17.1	17.1	12.9	14.9
CHI	13.1	15.6	13.6	14.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Poythress	8	9	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.04	1	-13	14	13.2	15.0	-1.76	14.6	14.2	0.37
Darren Collison	82	82	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-14	16	14.4	17.1	-2.72	14.3	14.0	0.27
Myles Turner	53	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	-7	2	14.6	15.2	-0.65	14.2	14.3	-0.06
Joe Young	26	25	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.16	-16	4	-20	16.2	14.4	1.85	14.2	14.2	-0.03
Bojan Bogdanovic	68	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.06	-13	1	-14	16.0	12.4	3.57	14.4	13.8	0.56
Thaddeus Young	64	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-8	4	14.9	14.8	0.11	14.7	13.3	1.41
Domantas Sabonis	57	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.07	-9	-3	-6	15.0	14.7	0.27	14.1	14.4	-0.36
Lance Stephenson	76	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-5	-2	13.7	18.7	-4.99	13.9	15.2	-1.30
Cory Joseph	61	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.15	-9	-3	-6	15.4	13.9	1.50	14.0	14.6	-0.68

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Nwaba	67	66	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	3	6	13.9	14.8	-0.92	15.0	14.6	0.35
Nikola Mirotic	56	56	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.10	9	3	6	13.6	15.0	-1.42	15.2	14.4	0.84
Jerian Grant	69	69	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	7	-2	14.5	13.6	0.84	13.9	17.1	-3.20
Denzel Valentine	53	54	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.07	12	0	12	13.8	14.8	-1.01	16.3	13.2	3.14
Paul Zipser	33	34	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.08	12	0	12	15.2	13.8	1.39	16.3	14.1	2.13
Bobby Portis	31	30	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.08	11	1	10	13.6	14.5	-0.89	17.5	13.7	3.82
Justin Holiday	76	75	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.30	-2	14	-16	14.2	14.2	0.06	13.9	17.7	-3.80
Lauri Markkanen	60	60	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.25	-1	13	-14	14.8	13.3	1.59	13.8	16.5	-2.63
Robin Lopez	50	51	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.02	5	7	-2	14.4	14.0	0.44	14.2	15.6	-1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.68,0.73,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.8,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 84, DEN 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.82,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
NOK 96, PHI 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.95,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1	95.1%
SAC 97, MIA 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.0%