inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 97 Excitement3.9 [1043] MVPEddie Jones (MIA): +13.9%
Miami Heat 103 Comeback1.4 [913] LVPKevin Martin (SAC): -8.0%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Metta World Peace0.050,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.170.010.131768%0.102-0.051377%-0.02
Mike Bibby0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.09-0.000.041570%0.113-0.0700%0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.070.000.031175%0.103-0.06250%-0.01
Ronnie Price0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Justin Williams-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.02330%-0.011-0.01425%-0.04
John Salmons-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.01425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Francisco Garcia-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.00220%-0.021-0.021100%0.00
Brad Miller-0.060,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.00540%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Corliss Williamson-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.10-0.00-0.02835%-0.033-0.05475%0.00
Kevin Martin-0.080,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.100.00-0.02941%-0.014-0.07475%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eddie Jones0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.170.000.039106%0.172-0.0300%0.00
James Posey0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.140.010.02694%0.151-0.02580%0.00
Jason Williams0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.02-0.011279%0.184-0.0700%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.050.01-0.091650%0.084-0.031450%-0.03
Gary Payton00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.000.001100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01367%0.022-0.0200%0.00
Antoine Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.02844%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.00-0.00746%0.012-0.041070%-0.02
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.070.01-0.02420%-0.021-0.0220%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.62.431.615.427.72.031.0133.8
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +41.6%
MIA +0.3%
MIA +1.0%
MIA +8.2%
SAC -1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACMIANBASACMIANBA
this game14.615.415.4102.1106.2104.5
season14.716.0104.7102.4
opponent15.615.1104.3106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC14.014.514.815.214.6
MIA13.714.814.619.015.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Justin Williams1315-0.05-0.450.390.00-2-4216.314.31.9913.315.8-2.45
Ronnie Price67-0.16-0.340.190.08-82-1018.714.34.3515.915.40.49
Francisco Garcia1819-0.19-0.310.120.08-93-1219.313.55.8514.215.7-1.48
Mike Bibby7376-0.22-0.280.06-0.406-121813.518.2-4.6715.614.70.94
Kevin Martin7372-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.331-7813.916.8-2.9015.914.01.89
Brad Miller6666-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.331-7813.716.7-2.9716.213.62.58
Metta World Peace8081-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.434-101413.719.2-5.4715.415.20.26
Corliss Williamson3536-0.32-0.18-0.130.07-137-2016.613.43.2314.316.0-1.74
John Salmons3536-0.33-0.17-0.150.03-126-1817.113.13.9514.416.0-1.52
Shareef Abdur-Rahim7677-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.382-81014.116.4-2.2215.614.61.01

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Williams77760.420.080.330.1210-41415.116.4-1.3214.415.4-0.97
Antoine Walker50480.410.090.310.178-21015.315.5-0.2515.913.32.56
James Posey63620.380.120.260.177-1815.116.0-0.9213.416.8-3.32
Eddie Jones73710.340.160.170.2242215.814.21.5314.315.4-1.11
Shaquille O'Neal71730.300.200.100.2424-215.814.31.4413.916.8-2.90
Alonzo Mourning25220.200.30-0.10-0.007-1814.015.9-1.8916.813.92.90
Gary Payton17160.200.30-0.10-0.038-21014.415.6-1.2015.414.40.94
Udonis Haslem67670.160.34-0.180.36-713-2015.714.71.0214.614.50.18
Dorell Wright32310.080.42-0.340.20-410-1415.015.6-0.6014.814.50.37
Chris Quinn1090.020.48-0.450.17-511-1619.015.04.0117.014.32.66


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 80, NOH 1070.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
DEN 77, SAC 980.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.93,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
DAL 97, MIL 1030.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.87,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%