NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	97		Excitement	3.8 [1030]		MVP	Ervin Johnson (MIL): +9.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	103		Comeback	1.0 [1201]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -13.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hubert Davis	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	11	72%	0.11	5	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.03	23	57%	0.05	3	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Bruno Sundov	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.02	-0.03	13	42%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rick Hughes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.12	10	72%	-0.04	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Sean Rooks	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.15	0.00	-0.03	8	0%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.16	-0.01	-0.04	9	45%	-0.05	5	-0.09	11	73%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ervin Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	0.00	8	75%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
J.R. Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	11	52%	-0.00	1	0.01	3	100%	0.01
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Haywoode Workman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	15	56%	0.05	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.01	-0.06	12	57%	0.06	7	-0.10	4	100%	0.01
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.01	-0.02	17	47%	0.01	5	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.7	28.3	15.6	24.2	1.8	32.2	126.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +34.2%

MIL +0.6%

MIL +9.6%

MIL +5.7%

DAL -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIL	NBA	DAL	MIL	NBA
this game	13.4	13.8	15.2	91.5	97.2	101.7
season	14.8	14.9		104.2	105.5
opponent	15.4	14.8		105.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	18.4	12.4	14.4	9.7	13.4
MIL	13.7	12.0	15.0	14.6	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruno Sundov	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.35	12	-18	30	6.5	14.6	-8.11	12.4	14.0	-1.58
Sean Rooks	43	44	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-8	10	13.8	13.1	0.68	14.8	13.1	1.73
Rick Hughes	48	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.49	10	-16	26	11.7	14.8	-3.14	13.3	14.2	-0.81
Damon Jones	62	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.23	-2	-4	2	11.1	16.6	-5.44	13.8	13.7	0.15
Dirk Nowitzki	85	86	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.42	4	-10	14	12.7	16.2	-3.56	13.9	13.2	0.66
Hubert Davis	74	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	3	-12	14.4	11.1	3.28	13.8	13.7	0.14
Cedric Ceballos	69	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.17	-20	14	-34	15.8	8.9	6.91	13.6	14.1	-0.50
Shawn Bradley	45	45	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.17	-21	15	-36	16.0	11.5	4.50	13.3	14.1	-0.82
Michael Finley	88	87	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.30	-6	0	-6	13.6	12.3	1.27	13.9	13.1	0.89

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	90	89	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.14	8	-2	10	13.6	14.9	-1.29	12.9	15.7	-2.76
Vinny Del Negro	46	47	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	-4	14	14.5	13.2	1.31	13.1	13.6	-0.58
Scott Williams	44	44	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.01	10	-4	14	12.9	14.4	-1.46	17.0	10.9	6.10
J.R. Reid	44	44	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.12	6	0	6	15.6	12.5	3.09	12.8	13.8	-1.01
Ervin Johnson	67	67	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	2	2	13.4	14.5	-1.07	13.4	13.3	0.17
Ray Allen	69	69	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	3	0	13.0	15.3	-2.28	14.3	11.6	2.75
Tim Thomas	63	62	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.32	-2	8	-10	14.9	12.2	2.69	11.2	16.5	-5.28
Danny Manning	24	25	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.09	10	-4	14	11.9	14.3	-2.47	13.8	13.3	0.49
Glenn Robinson	67	67	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.19	-1	7	-8	12.7	15.7	-2.98	13.8	12.6	1.22
Haywoode Workman	8	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.26	-9	15	-24	18.4	13.4	4.97	10.2	13.6	-3.39
Robert Traylor	8	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.26	-9	15	-24	18.4	13.4	4.97	10.2	13.6	-3.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.87,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 98, NYK 122	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.89,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
SAC 97, MIA 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	96.1%
VAN 97, DET 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%