inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 84 Excitement4.3 [980] MVPEarl Boykins (DEN): +7.0%
Denver Nuggets 102 Comeback1.1 [1160] LVPSean Marks (SAS): -11.8%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Wilks0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05543%0.021-0.02450%-0.00
Dion Glover-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.01-0.03845%-0.0100.00683%0.01
Beno Udrih-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.02-0.01642%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Nazr Mohammed-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.000.000.01759%0.001-0.01367%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00743%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Tony Massenburg-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.02425%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Bruce Bowen-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.01-0.01617%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Robert Horry-0.050,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.000.01744%-0.031-0.022100%0.01
Manu Ginobili-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.09-0.00-0.02846%-0.042-0.031283%0.02
Tony Parker-0.110,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.06-0.010.031847%-0.034-0.0800%0.00
Brent Barry-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.02-0.00615%-0.091-0.0210%-0.01
Sean Marks-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.07-0.050.00629%-0.071-0.042100%0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Earl Boykins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.120.000.051370%0.0700.007100%0.03
Marcus Camby0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.01-0.011352%0.0400.003100%0.01
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.02-0.00-0.04943%0.0200.00333%-0.02
DerMarr Johnson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.05-0.000.05667%0.0100.0000%0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.02-0.05955%0.054-0.044100%0.03
Wesley Person0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.020.000.03367%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Bryon Russell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Greg Buckner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Nene0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.080.02-0.031248%0.034-0.073100%0.01
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.03-0.001247%-0.081-0.021486%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.13.634.017.532.53.733.0151.3
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +38.9%
DEN +14.3%
SAS -11.5%
DEN +8.0%
DEN +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASDENNBASASDENNBA
this game17.514.515.593.3113.3104.0
season16.314.8105.8103.8
opponent15.615.6102.398.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS19.215.818.117.217.5
DEN14.215.512.715.514.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sean Marks18190.09-0.590.68-0.096-243015.218.1-2.9713.814.6-0.78
Manu Ginobili5051-0.06-0.440.39-0.03-1-171616.618.7-2.0314.314.6-0.33
Tony Massenburg2727-0.11-0.390.280.07-6-12617.017.8-0.7215.414.01.36
Mike Wilks1919-0.11-0.390.270.15-9-9016.817.7-0.8917.213.73.43
Dion Glover2626-0.12-0.380.27-0.03-3-151218.217.30.8614.014.6-0.64
Rasho Nesterovic5148-0.13-0.370.250.08-7-11418.016.91.1014.714.20.54
Beno Udrih2728-0.22-0.280.07-0.01-7-11415.918.3-2.4215.014.20.84
Nazr Mohammed2224-0.28-0.22-0.060.04-11-7-416.517.9-1.3215.514.11.42
Bruce Bowen5250-0.33-0.17-0.160.17-17-1-1617.917.10.7614.514.40.06
Robert Horry4747-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.08-11-7-418.616.42.1114.014.9-0.91
Brent Barry4545-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.11-10-8-217.917.20.7813.315.6-2.38
Tony Parker6666-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.03-14-4-1018.515.03.4714.015.6-1.54

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Earl Boykins53530.490.010.48-0.1321-32415.113.51.6516.618.9-2.29
Marcus Camby61620.340.160.19-0.101531214.514.40.0618.315.82.55
Nene53530.330.170.16-0.141621414.214.8-0.6017.517.7-0.22
Eduardo Najera55530.330.170.150.15612-614.714.00.7017.517.6-0.18
Andre Miller59600.290.210.08-0.09135813.316.7-3.4919.114.54.57
Wesley Person33320.280.220.06-0.04117415.214.01.1516.318.2-1.86
Carmelo Anthony56580.150.35-0.21-0.00513-814.414.6-0.2618.216.41.81
Greg Buckner25250.110.39-0.280.08117-1616.013.92.1414.718.6-3.91
DerMarr Johnson39380.090.41-0.310.06117-1613.814.9-1.1218.117.20.88
Bryon Russell16160.090.41-0.310.06117-1614.414.5-0.0215.717.9-2.26


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.82,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 107, CHI 1190.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.68,0.73,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.8,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,195.2%
UTA 84, PHX 990.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.9,0.92,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%
DEN 77, PHX 930.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.79,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,195.2%