NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	96		Excitement	3.9 [1033]		MVP	Kyle Korver (PHI): +19.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	102		Comeback	1.1 [917]		LVP	David West (NOK): -9.9%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Brown	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.16	0.00	0.11	15	73%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Desmond Mason	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	11	57%	0.06	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.01
Linton Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.01	-0.04	12	27%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bobby Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	7	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	5	56%	0.02	4	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
David West	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.01	0.03	21	51%	-0.02	5	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.02	-0.01	13	78%	0.20	2	-0.01	6	100%	0.01
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	-0.01	10	65%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	43%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	4	70%	0.04	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	17	44%	0.02	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	17	50%	0.04	6	-0.09	6	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	1.8	26.0	16.4	28.8	2.4	29.3	132.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +42.1%

PHI +1.0%

PHI +0.8%

PHI +4.0%

PHI +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	PHI	NBA	NOK	PHI	NBA
this game	14.8	15.8	15.4	103.2	107.4	104.5
season	16.0	15.5		102.8	101.7
opponent	15.7	15.3		105.2	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	15.0	13.8	17.4	13.3	14.8
PHI	15.7	16.2	15.3	16.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Brown	68	67	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.45	10	-16	26	13.6	18.2	-4.59	15.9	15.6	0.35
Marc Jackson	13	13	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.06	-8	2	-10	13.6	15.0	-1.38	17.5	15.6	1.90
Desmond Mason	56	57	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-3	0	15.7	13.4	2.28	15.4	16.5	-1.13
Tyson Chandler	71	72	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.49	9	-15	24	14.2	16.8	-2.58	15.6	16.6	-1.04
Linton Johnson	27	28	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.18	-16	10	-26	17.0	13.9	3.09	15.8	15.8	0.00
Bobby Jackson	38	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.13	-15	9	-24	16.4	13.7	2.64	15.1	16.4	-1.29
David West	75	77	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.40	3	-9	12	14.8	14.8	-0.03	15.8	16.0	-0.22
Rasual Butler	70	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-4	2	14.9	14.4	0.55	16.5	13.9	2.55
Jannero Pargo	47	50	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.20	-8	2	-10	14.0	15.6	-1.54	15.9	15.8	0.12

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	70	67	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.19	12	-6	18	15.6	16.3	-0.68	14.4	15.9	-1.55
Joe Smith	50	47	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.03	16	-10	26	16.1	15.5	0.59	15.5	14.1	1.34
Andre Miller	79	79	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	3	0	15.4	17.7	-2.24	14.3	17.4	-3.09
Andre Iguodala	75	74	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.36	-1	7	-8	16.0	15.1	0.91	14.8	14.7	0.15
Samuel Dalembert	55	55	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	4	-2	15.5	16.3	-0.78	14.2	15.7	-1.57
Bobby Jones	17	14	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	0	6	17.2	15.5	1.65	16.4	14.5	1.83
Steven Hunter	58	59	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	5	-4	15.9	15.8	0.11	15.4	13.8	1.60
Kevin Ollie	8	5	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.02	2	4	-2	16.7	15.7	1.01	24.2	14.3	9.93
Rodney Carney	63	65	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.35	-11	17	-28	15.8	15.8	-0.03	14.3	16.1	-1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.95,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 103, SAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.97,1,0.99,1,1	96.6%
TOR 88, LAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.85,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
NYK 83, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%