NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	88		Excitement	3.8 [1032]		MVP	Rick Fox (LAL): +7.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	104		Comeback	1.0 [1260]		LVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): -8.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Jefferies	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jermaine Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	75%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	14	53%	0.03	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Alvin Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	10	56%	0.06	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01
Nate Huffman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	6	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lindsey Hunter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	12	56%	0.02	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Greg Foster	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Michael Bradley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.01	5	65%	-0.00	3	-0.04	7	71%	-0.02
Voshon Lenard	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	10	45%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Jelani McCoy	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rick Fox	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	9	75%	0.11	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	-0.01	0.04	18	76%	0.12	4	-0.06	10	70%	-0.04
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	63%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	6	58%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	5	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.11	0.01	-0.08	15	39%	0.00	3	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.00	6	42%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	33.1	15.0	25.1	2.5	32.2	133.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +30.6%

LAL +0.2%

LAL +7.0%

LAL +9.7%

LAL +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	LAL	NBA	TOR	LAL	NBA
this game	15.1	15.3	15.5	92.6	110.6	101.6
season	16.2	15.4		98.8	105.0
opponent	15.1	15.3		102.8	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.2	14.1	15.7	13.8	15.1
LAL	14.1	15.3	15.7	16.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine Jackson	9	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-20	24	12.3	15.4	-3.11	17.1	15.2	1.96
Greg Foster	21	21	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.05	-1	-15	14	14.3	15.4	-1.11	17.6	14.7	2.89
Nate Huffman	30	29	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.03	-2	-14	12	12.9	16.2	-3.28	14.1	15.9	-1.72
Chris Jefferies	16	14	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-13	10	15.1	15.2	-0.03	16.3	15.2	1.12
Alvin Williams	63	62	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.06	-9	-7	-2	15.6	14.2	1.40	16.1	13.7	2.40
Jerome Williams	51	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	-9	2	15.8	14.4	1.46	15.2	15.5	-0.26
Michael Bradley	44	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	-7	-2	14.4	15.8	-1.46	15.5	15.2	0.26
Jelani McCoy	44	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	-3	-10	17.1	13.5	3.62	15.0	15.6	-0.53
Morris Peterson	73	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.11	-8	-8	0	15.1	15.4	-0.28	15.0	16.6	-1.61
Voshon Lenard	73	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.11	-17	1	-18	15.5	14.1	1.32	14.8	17.1	-2.27
Lindsey Hunter	51	51	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	-1	-14	14.7	15.6	-0.91	15.0	15.7	-0.68

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devean George	51	52	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.13	20	-4	24	15.1	15.6	-0.55	15.0	15.3	-0.37
Kareem Rush	51	52	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.13	20	-4	24	15.1	15.6	-0.55	15.0	15.3	-0.37
Shaquille O'Neal	66	68	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	2	12	15.4	15.2	0.16	16.0	13.0	3.05
Kobe Bryant	71	71	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	12	-8	15.0	16.2	-1.18	15.1	15.3	-0.25
Derek Fisher	60	61	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.00	9	7	2	15.8	14.5	1.35	15.7	14.1	1.60
Tracy Murray	19	21	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.03	7	9	-2	15.9	15.2	0.77	15.4	15.1	0.36
Robert Horry	34	33	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.15	13	3	10	14.5	15.8	-1.25	14.7	15.4	-0.64
Slava Medvedenko	28	27	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	14	-12	15.2	15.4	-0.16	13.0	16.0	-3.05
Rick Fox	43	43	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	20	-24	15.6	15.1	0.55	15.3	15.0	0.37
Mark Madsen	41	41	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.15	-4	20	-24	15.7	15.0	0.67	15.3	15.0	0.34
Brian Shaw	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	17	-18	16.0	15.3	0.72	11.5	15.4	-3.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.85,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 96, PHI 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.95,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1	96.4%
IND 103, SAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.97,1,0.99,1,1	96.2%
UTA 91, DEN 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%