NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	91		Excitement	4.0 [997]		MVP	Nikola Jokic (DEN): +10.0%
Denver Nuggets	105		Comeback	1.1 [932]		LVP	Shelvin Mack (UTA): -11.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rudy Gobert	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dante Exum	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	12	42%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Raul Neto	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	86%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	21	52%	0.04	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Trey Lyles	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	12	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Shelvin Mack	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	0.00	8	17%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.02	-0.01	8	67%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.19	0.00	0.10	8	90%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.01	11	71%	0.15	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	12	53%	0.05	2	-0.02	6	0%	-0.05
Juan Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	2	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Will Barton	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	37%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Emmanuel Mudiay	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	13	38%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.01	-0.05	14	38%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.8	31.2	15.4	24.5	2.6	33.3	135.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +39.7%

DEN +1.7%

DEN +6.0%

DEN +1.8%

DEN +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DEN	NBA	UTA	DEN	NBA
this game	15.2	16.3	14.8	98.9	115.4	107.7
season	16.1	14.4		108.0	111.6
opponent	14.5	15.0		111.2	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.8	14.5	15.2	15.3	15.2
DEN	13.6	17.4	15.5	19.0	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raul Neto	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-20	26	13.5	15.3	-1.77	19.2	16.1	3.08
Jeff Withey	34	36	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.25	8	-22	30	13.2	16.4	-3.20	17.8	15.3	2.56
Boris Diaw	14	14	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.10	2	-16	18	16.7	14.9	1.79	14.8	16.6	-1.77
Gordon Hayward	63	62	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-8	2	15.5	14.5	0.99	16.4	16.0	0.37
Joe Johnson	55	54	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-14	14	14.7	15.9	-1.26	15.4	17.5	-2.07
Shelvin Mack	36	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-12	10	13.4	16.4	-3.01	14.5	17.4	-2.93
Joe Ingles	40	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.14	-6	-8	2	14.6	15.6	-1.01	16.7	16.0	0.68
Trey Lyles	39	38	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.21	-19	5	-24	15.8	14.8	1.00	17.8	15.2	2.63
Rodney Hood	61	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.09	-18	4	-22	15.7	14.2	1.51	15.2	18.3	-3.08
Rudy Gobert	50	48	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.15	-20	6	-26	16.4	13.7	2.73	15.9	16.7	-0.83
Dante Exum	64	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.00	-15	1	-16	15.7	13.9	1.82	17.2	13.8	3.37

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danilo Gallinari	67	67	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.08	17	-3	20	15.7	17.8	-2.10	16.4	12.0	4.33
Jamal Murray	42	43	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.05	15	-1	16	17.8	15.0	2.79	14.6	15.7	-1.07
Nikola Jokic	41	43	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.02	11	3	8	16.2	16.3	-0.08	14.5	15.8	-1.28
Jameer Nelson	40	42	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	8	-2	16.0	16.5	-0.51	13.4	16.7	-3.34
Wilson Chandler	47	50	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.07	6	8	-2	15.2	17.4	-2.22	14.1	16.5	-2.36
Emmanuel Mudiay	61	60	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.02	9	5	4	15.8	17.2	-1.36	16.4	12.9	3.51
Kenneth Faried	46	44	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.03	7	7	0	17.3	15.2	2.15	16.2	14.2	1.98
Jusuf Nurkic	47	46	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.05	7	7	0	16.2	16.3	-0.11	16.0	14.4	1.57
Will Barton	36	36	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	12	-10	15.5	16.8	-1.30	16.1	14.6	1.55
Alonzo Gee	14	15	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	16	-18	17.1	16.1	1.01	13.2	15.6	-2.38
Juan Hernangomez	11	11	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.13	-4	18	-22	19.1	15.9	3.19	10.9	15.8	-4.87
Malik Beasley	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	18	-22	17.7	16.2	1.43	13.0	15.3	-2.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 99, DEN 119	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
LAL 72, IND 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.2%
CHI 94, CLE 113	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%