NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	103		Excitement	3.8 [844]		MVP	Gary Neal (SAS): +9.2%
San Antonio Spurs	112		Comeback	1.0 [986]		LVP	Danny Granger (IND): -7.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	0.00	4	80%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul George	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.09	-0.01	0.02	11	78%	0.08	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.04	10	65%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	8	60%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Dahntay Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
David West	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.00	16	44%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Leandro Barbosa	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	5	30%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.04	-0.01	0.10	13	60%	-0.01	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.00	0.03	4	137%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	10	75%	0.13	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	12	60%	0.08	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	16	56%	0.09	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.03
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	-0.00	-0.02	7	62%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.01	-0.08	7	44%	0.06	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Danny Green	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	42%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	58%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.0	29.0	15.6	25.6	1.8	27.5	128.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +24.6%

SAS +6.8%

SAS +7.5%

SAS +9.6%

SAS +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SAS	NBA	IND	SAS	NBA
this game	14.3	16.1	15.6	108.4	119.1	102.8
season	15.7	15.3		104.2	109.1
opponent	15.2	15.6		101.5	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.1	14.9	11.9	13.8	14.3
SAS	17.1	13.3	17.6	16.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roy Hibbert	71	70	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.38	8	-17	25	13.8	16.0	-2.16	16.6	14.9	1.70
Paul George	56	54	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.25	3	-12	15	13.2	15.9	-2.67	16.6	15.4	1.20
Dahntay Jones	19	21	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	0	-9	14.8	14.2	0.62	15.3	16.4	-1.10
Lou Amundson	17	17	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.08	-10	1	-11	15.4	14.1	1.22	15.5	16.3	-0.82
Leandro Barbosa	27	28	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	-1	-7	15.1	14.0	1.12	15.4	16.5	-1.11
Darren Collison	51	49	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	-2	-5	14.0	14.7	-0.67	16.6	15.6	0.95
Danny Granger	74	71	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-11	13	14.2	14.7	-0.47	16.4	15.5	0.87
David West	68	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-9	9	13.6	16.1	-2.46	16.6	15.0	1.65
Tyler Hansbrough	34	34	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.11	-16	7	-23	16.4	13.2	3.17	14.6	17.0	-2.34
George Hill	58	59	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.14	-8	-1	-7	15.3	12.9	2.38	15.7	16.9	-1.15

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	68	70	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.20	5	4	1	16.5	15.3	1.20	13.6	16.3	-2.68
Tim Duncan	63	65	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.14	7	2	5	16.2	16.0	0.16	13.6	16.0	-2.46
Kawhi Leonard	45	45	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.01	11	-2	13	17.0	15.3	1.65	14.8	13.9	0.86
Manu Ginobili	57	58	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.18	5	4	1	14.9	18.0	-3.07	14.5	14.2	0.30
DeJuan Blair	47	45	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	2	5	16.5	15.8	0.70	13.9	14.7	-0.83
Matt Bonner	47	50	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.19	2	7	-5	15.8	16.5	-0.70	14.7	13.9	0.83
Stephen Jackson	55	56	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.21	0	9	-9	15.4	17.2	-1.87	14.0	14.9	-0.89
Gary Neal	33	32	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	7	-5	15.8	16.3	-0.45	15.8	13.6	2.21
Tiago Splitter	31	30	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	7	-5	16.0	16.2	-0.16	16.0	13.6	2.46
Danny Green	24	24	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	5	-1	18.6	15.3	3.34	14.2	14.4	-0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.97,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 96, PHI 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.95,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1	96.6%
TOR 88, LAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.85,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
CHI 94, CLE 113	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%