NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	125		Excitement	9.3 [113]		MVP	Jimmy Butler (MIN): +78.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	128		Comeback	3.2 [492]		LVP	Wilson Chandler (DEN): -7.7%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Barton	0.55	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55	0.21	0.37	0.03	17	72%	0.60	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.10
Trey Lyles	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.42,0.42,0.33	0.18	0.16	0.02	13	79%	0.34	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Nikola Jokic	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.03	0.03	11	65%	0.18	2	-0.09	12	92%	0.10
Gary Harris	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.06	-0.02	10	45%	0.14	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Mason Plumlee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.02	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04
Darrell Arthur	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Murray	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.01	20	49%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.05
Wilson Chandler	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	8	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.37,0.53,0.76,0.79	0.79	0.25	0.53	-0.01	20	67%	0.80	1	-0.01	18	89%	0.08
Taj Gibson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44	0.44	0.15	0.29	-0.00	12	74%	0.44	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.05
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.05	0.01	13	68%	0.18	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.11	-0.00	11	55%	0.18	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	12	46%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	43%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Georges-Hunt	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	12	58%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.4	2.3	24.3	14.8	26.2	2.4	39.4	2.4	15.4	150.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	3.2	17.5	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +69.0%

DEN -16.8%

MIN +1.1%

MIN +9.2%

DEN -12.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	MIN	NBA	DEN	MIN	NBA
this game	14.7	16.6	14.7	122.5	126.7	107.5
season	14.7	15.3		111.2	111.8
opponent	14.4	14.7		110.2	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DEN	15.0	14.5	14.8	14.1	15.7	14.7
MIN	15.0	16.2	18.8	17.2	15.9	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Torrey Craig	22	24	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.16	-5	2	-7	14.9	14.6	0.27	14.1	17.4	-3.30
Trey Lyles	63	63	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.30	7	-10	17	13.4	16.8	-3.48	16.4	17.1	-0.70
Darrell Arthur	11	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.03	-5	2	-7	15.1	14.6	0.44	12.4	17.2	-4.80
Mason Plumlee	46	45	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	2	-7	17.2	12.6	4.55	16.9	16.4	0.48
Will Barton	66	67	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.46	9	-12	21	13.9	16.2	-2.36	16.7	16.4	0.31
Jamal Murray	88	87	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-2	1	14.8	14.2	0.56	16.7	16.6	0.08
Nikola Jokic	79	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.42	1	-4	5	14.3	16.2	-1.91	17.3	14.4	2.92
Wilson Chandler	55	53	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.29	-11	8	-19	15.9	13.3	2.51	17.2	16.0	1.23
Gary Harris	80	78	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.49	-5	2	-7	14.4	15.7	-1.26	16.9	15.8	1.11

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmy Butler	80	81	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.38	5	-2	7	16.7	16.5	0.15	15.0	13.5	1.48
Jeff Teague	66	68	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.28	5	-2	7	17.4	15.2	2.21	14.0	16.0	-2.00
Gorgui Dieng	43	42	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.60	-11	14	-25	17.0	16.4	0.62	12.8	16.0	-3.25
Karl-Anthony Towns	56	58	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.12	11	-8	19	15.7	17.8	-2.05	16.3	12.6	3.62
Marcus Georges-Hunt	4	6	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.23	-1	4	-5	9.5	16.9	-7.44	14.7	14.7	-0.03
Andrew Wiggins	70	72	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.04	5	-2	7	16.9	16.1	0.84	14.2	15.9	-1.66
Jamal Crawford	51	50	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.27	-4	7	-11	16.8	16.5	0.36	14.4	15.0	-0.54
Taj Gibson	74	76	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.05	3	0	3	17.3	14.9	2.39	14.9	14.0	0.99
Nemanja Bjelica	20	20	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	3	-3	14.9	17.1	-2.11	14.0	14.9	-0.87
Tyus Jones	31	28	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.09	-1	4	-5	15.9	17.0	-1.02	16.3	14.1	2.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.81,0.71,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.9,0.97,0.93,0.54,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 91, BOS 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.87,0.82,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.84,0.74,0.46,0.55,0.36,0.68,0.74,1	89.8%
NYK 104, UTA 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.94,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.65,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.98,1	88.2%
NOH 80, ATL 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.8,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.86,0.89,0.97,0.99,1	88.1%